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INCENTIVISING PRIMARY CARE PRACTITIONERS TO PROVIDE COMPREHENSIVE CHRONIC DISEASE MANAGEMENT IMPROVES SURVIVAL FOLLOWING STROKE: A TARGET TRIAL APPROACH USING LINKED REGISTRY DATA.
Abstract
Background and Aims
In response to the growing burden of chronic disease, governments are investing substantially in innovative models of primary care, involving structured self-management support. Currently, large scale population-based evaluations of these policies are lacking. We aim to compare differences in survival following stroke or transient ischaemic attack, based on receipt or non-receipt of incentivised primary care management.
Methods
A target trial approach, with the study-design emulating a randomised controlled trial within a linked-data cohort, was used. Person-level linkages included data from: the Australian Stroke Clinical Registry (January 2012-June 2015) to define the cohort; Australian Medicare claims to identify relevant primary care items in the 6-18 months post-stroke (exposure period); government-held hospital, pharmaceutical and aged care datasets to define covariates; and National Death Registry to define outcomes during the 19-30 months post-stroke (outcome period). A landmark approach including those alive at the start of the outcome period was used. Multivariable survival analysis, adjusted using propensity score methods (PSM) was applied.
Results
Among 9,337 included AuSCR registrants (42% female, median age 70 years, 28% TIA), 45% received incentivised care during the exposure period and 95% were linked across all datasets. Following PSM, excellent balance was achieved between groups across 35 variables. Receipt compared to non-receipt of incentivised primary care was associated with a 28% reduced hazard of death (adjusted Hazard Ratio: 0.70, 95% CI 0.57, 0.87, p<0.001).
Conclusions
We provide an evaluation of the effectiveness of incentivised primary care within “real world” healthcare provision. Further work is underway to examine causal mechanisms.