Charité – Universitätsmedizin Berlin
Experimental and Clinical Research Center and NeuroCure Clinical Research Center

Author Of 1 Presentation

Prognostic Factors Poster Presentation

P0509 - Utility of NEDA-3 status as a predictor of future disease activity (ID 1643)

Speakers
Presentation Number
P0509
Presentation Topic
Prognostic Factors

Abstract

Background

No evidence of disease activity (NEDA) is viewed as an important goal in relapsing multiple sclerosis (MS) and has been advocated as a benchmark for treatment decisions. However, NEDA status is maintained only by a minority of MS patients over prolonged periods, regardless of disease-modifying treatment. The predictive value and utility of NEDA in guiding individual therapy remains unclear.

Objectives

To investigate the association of NEDA-3 status and criteria subitems in a one-year reference period with subsequent disease activity.

Methods

We included 113 patients (age 35 ± 10 years, 67 (59.3%) female) with relapsing remitting MS who had annual clinical and MRI follow-up visits. There were no restrictions on disease-modifying therapy. The first year of follow-up was considered the reference period. Patients had a median of 2.8 years follow-up time (interquartile range 1.1 - 4.0 years) after the reference period. NEDA-3 status was established based on relapse assessment, 1-point increase in the expanded disability status scale (EDSS, unrelated to relapse activity) and the appearance of new T2-weighted or contrast-enhancing lesions.

Results

Patients who failed NEDA-3 criteria during the reference period had an increased rate of subsequent NEDA-3 failure (Hazard ratio (HR) 1.84, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.12-3.02, p=0.0165). Attacks and new lesions during the reference period were associated with a new relapse (HR 2.872, CI 1.31-6.30, p=0.00843) or a new lesion (HR 2.57, CI 1.49-4.43, p=0.000691) during subsequent follow-up, respectively. An EDSS increase in the reference period was not predictive of a future failure of NEDA-3.

Conclusions

Relapses and new lesions increase the risk of future disease activity in relapsing-remitting MS, irrespective of disease-modifying therapy. Relapse-independent disability progression appears to be less useful in predicting future disease activity.

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