University of Bari “Aldo Moro”

Author Of 2 Presentations

Observational Studies Oral Presentation

PS01.04 - Comparison of disability trajectories in relapsing Multiple Sclerosis patients treated with early intensive or escalation treatment strategies

Abstract

Background

to date, no consensus exists on how aggressively and timely treat relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) patients.

Objectives

To evaluate disability trajectories in a cohort of RRMS patients stratified according to two different disease modifying therapy (DMT) strategies, early intensive treatment (EIT) or moderate-efficacy treatment followed by escalation to higher-efficacy DMT (ESC).

Methods

RRMS patients with ≥5-year follow-up and ≥3 visits after start DMT, and a first visit within 3 years from disease onset were selected from the Italian MS Registry. EIT group included patients who received, as first DMT, fingolimod, natalizumab, mitoxantrone, alemtuzumab, ocrelizumab, cladribine. ESC group included those who received the high efficacy DMT after ≥1 year of glatiramer acetate, interferons, azathioprine, teriflunomide or dimethylfumarate treatment. Patients were 1:1 propensity score(PS)-matched for characteristics at the first DMT. The follow-up time from the first DMT start has been segmented into 12-month periods. The disability trajectories were evaluated by applying a longitudinal model for repeated measures with an autoregressive variance-covariance structure. The effect of early versus late start of high-efficacy DMT was assessed by the mean annual EDSS changes compared to baseline values (delta-EDSS) in EIT and ESC groups.

Results

The study cohort included 2,652 RRMS patients from 62 Italian MS centers. The PS matching procedure produced 365 pairs. The median (IQR) follow-up after the first DMT start was 8.5 (6.5–11.7) years. All of the ESC patients escalated to a higher-efficacy DMT after a median time of 5.1 (3.1–8.4) years. The estimated baseline EDSS with relative confidence interval (95% CI) value was 2.52 (2.33-2.71) in the ESC group and 2.45 (2.26-2.64) in the EIT group. Mean delta-EDSS at each 12 month period were all significantly (p<0.02) higher in the ESC group compared to the EIT group. In particular, the mean delta-EDSS differences between the two groups tend to increase from 0.1 (0.01-0.19, p=0.03) at 1 year to 0.30 (0.07-0.53, p=0.009) at 5 years and to 0.67 (0.31-1.03, p=0.0003) at 10 years.

Conclusions

Our results indicate that EIT strategy is more effective than ESC strategy in controlling disability progression and the effect tends to increase over time despite patients in the ESC group escalated to a higher-efficacy DMT.

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Observational Studies Oral Presentation

PS05.03 - Disease modifying treatment may delay time to wheelchair in primary progressive multiple sclerosis: a real-life cohort

Abstract

Background

Background: Except for ocrelizumab, treatment options in primary progressive multiple sclerosis (PPMS) are lacking, as randomized clinical trials failed to show efficacy in reducing disability progression in this patient population.

Objectives

Objective: To investigate the effectiveness of disease-modifying treatment (DMT) on hard disability outcomes (EDSS 6 and 7) in a real-life population of PPMS patients.

Methods

Methods: Using the Italian MS Registry, we selected PPMS patients with at least three EDSS evaluations and three years of follow-up. Study baseline was defined as the first EDSS evaluation for untreated patients and the date of the first DMT initiation for treated patients. The impact of DMT on the risk of reaching EDSS 6 and 7 was assessed as a dichotomous variable (yes versus no) and as a time-dependent covariate through multivariable Cox regression models (adjusted for age at baseline, sex, first EDSS score, symptoms at onset, annualized visit rate, annualized relapse rate). We compared outcomes with an as-treated analysis and used propensity-score matching (PSM) to select cohorts with comparable baseline characteristics. DMT-exposure was also evaluated in terms of quartiles of exposure.

Results

Results: Of the 1214 patients we included 671 females, mean ± Standard Deviation baseline age 48.7 ± 11.1 years, mean EDSS score 4.1 ± 1.8, 790 (65%) received a DMT during the follow-up (57% platform and 43% highly active treatments). In the whole sample, after a mean follow-up of 11.6 ± 6.3 years, 994 (82%) patients reached EDSS 6 and 539 (44%) EDSS 7. In the multivariable Cox regression models, the use of DMT analyzed as a dichotomous variable did not influence the risk of reaching EDSS 6 (aHR=1.1, 95% CI 0.95-1.28, p=0.181) and EDSS 7 (aHR = 0.93, 95% CI 0.77-1.12. p = 0.454). However, longer DMT exposure significantly reduced the risk of reaching EDSS 7 (aHR = 0.73, 95% CI 0.56-0.95, p =0.021). Of note, patients in the upper quartile of DMT exposure compared with those with shorter DMT exposure were younger at baseline (mean age 44.1 ± 10.6 years; p < 0.001) and received the first DMT closer to the disease onset (mean time to first DMT 6.8 years ± 6.1 ; p=0.002). All these findings were confirmed in the PSM analysis.

Conclusions

Conclusion: Our results suggest that longer exposure to DMT may delay time to wheelchair in PPMS patients. Moreover, treating younger patients and reducing the delay to treatment initiation may improve the patients’ long-term disability outcomes. To optimize treatment decision-making in PPMS further profiling of the best candidates to treatment is needed.

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Presenter Of 1 Presentation

Observational Studies Oral Presentation

PS01.04 - Comparison of disability trajectories in relapsing Multiple Sclerosis patients treated with early intensive or escalation treatment strategies

Abstract

Background

to date, no consensus exists on how aggressively and timely treat relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) patients.

Objectives

To evaluate disability trajectories in a cohort of RRMS patients stratified according to two different disease modifying therapy (DMT) strategies, early intensive treatment (EIT) or moderate-efficacy treatment followed by escalation to higher-efficacy DMT (ESC).

Methods

RRMS patients with ≥5-year follow-up and ≥3 visits after start DMT, and a first visit within 3 years from disease onset were selected from the Italian MS Registry. EIT group included patients who received, as first DMT, fingolimod, natalizumab, mitoxantrone, alemtuzumab, ocrelizumab, cladribine. ESC group included those who received the high efficacy DMT after ≥1 year of glatiramer acetate, interferons, azathioprine, teriflunomide or dimethylfumarate treatment. Patients were 1:1 propensity score(PS)-matched for characteristics at the first DMT. The follow-up time from the first DMT start has been segmented into 12-month periods. The disability trajectories were evaluated by applying a longitudinal model for repeated measures with an autoregressive variance-covariance structure. The effect of early versus late start of high-efficacy DMT was assessed by the mean annual EDSS changes compared to baseline values (delta-EDSS) in EIT and ESC groups.

Results

The study cohort included 2,652 RRMS patients from 62 Italian MS centers. The PS matching procedure produced 365 pairs. The median (IQR) follow-up after the first DMT start was 8.5 (6.5–11.7) years. All of the ESC patients escalated to a higher-efficacy DMT after a median time of 5.1 (3.1–8.4) years. The estimated baseline EDSS with relative confidence interval (95% CI) value was 2.52 (2.33-2.71) in the ESC group and 2.45 (2.26-2.64) in the EIT group. Mean delta-EDSS at each 12 month period were all significantly (p<0.02) higher in the ESC group compared to the EIT group. In particular, the mean delta-EDSS differences between the two groups tend to increase from 0.1 (0.01-0.19, p=0.03) at 1 year to 0.30 (0.07-0.53, p=0.009) at 5 years and to 0.67 (0.31-1.03, p=0.0003) at 10 years.

Conclusions

Our results indicate that EIT strategy is more effective than ESC strategy in controlling disability progression and the effect tends to increase over time despite patients in the ESC group escalated to a higher-efficacy DMT.

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Author Of 2 Presentations

Epidemiology Poster Presentation

P0506 - Towards a validated Secondary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis definition: A study from the Italian MS Register (ID 1432)

Abstract

Background

No clear metrics for sensitive and reliable identification of the transition from relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) to secondary progressive (SP)MS are available.

Objectives

To compare diagnostic performances of two different data-driven Secondary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis definitions.

Methods

patient with RRMS with a follow-up ≥5 years, with a current age ≥18 years, and with ≥3 EDSS scores recorded were selected from the Italian MS Registry. Annual incidence of SPMS conversion was reported as number of patients converting to SP every 100 patients/year. Three different SPMS definitions have been used. Data-driven definitions based on the Lorscheider’s algorithm (LA) and on the EXPAND trial inclusion criteria were validated, using the neurologist’s definition as gold standard, in terms of calibration, discrimination and goodness of fit by calculating: sensitivity, specificity, Positive Predictive Value (PPV), Negative Predictive Value (NPV), the Akaike information criterion (AIC), the Area Under the Curve (AUC). The overall calibration of the data-driven definitions was evaluated by the Calibration Slope test.

Results

a cohort of 10,240 RRMS patients was extracted from the Italian MS Registry. According to the neurologist judgment, 880 (8.59%) patients were classified as SPMS in the dataset. By applying the LA and the EXPAND definition, 1,806 (17.64%) and 1,134 (11.07%) patients, respectively, were classified as SPMS. The annual rate of SP conversion during the follow-up was 0.74 every 100 patients/year based on the neurologist’s definition, 1.57 every 100 patients/year using the LA and 0.94 every 100 patients/year applying the EXPAND definition. Both the data-driven definitions were well calibrated, with a p-value of the Calibration Slope test higher than 0.05 (LA=0.55; EXPAND definition=0.57). The AIC (LA=4301; EXPAND definition=5510) and the R-Square (LA=0.15 vs EXPAND definition=0.05), were in favor of the LA. The LA showed a greater discrimination power (AUC: 0.83 vs 0.65) and a higher sensitivity (77.1% vs 38.0%) in comparison to the EXPAND definition. Both definitions showed similar specificity (88.0% vs 91.5%). The PPV and the NPV were both higher using the LA than those obtained by the EXPAND definition (37.5% vs 29.5%; 97.6% vs 94.0%, respectively).

Conclusions

An accurate definition of SP transition is needed for a timely and efficacious treatment of SPMS patients. Real-world data from the Italian MS Registry suggests that data-driven definitions had a greater ability to capture SP transition than neurologist’s definition and that the global accuracy of LA seems to be higher than a definition based on the EXPAND trial inclusion criteria.

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Observational Studies Poster Presentation

P0913 - Risks associated with wash-out duration when switching from fingolimod to cell-depleting agents (ID 1317)

Abstract

Background

A wash-out duration lasting >1–2 months between the majority of sequential disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) is associated with an increased risk of disease reactivation in Multiple Sclerosis (MS) patients.

Fingolimod (FTY) induces sequestration of lymphocytes in secondary lymphoid organs and the average lymphocyte recovery following discontinuation takes 1-2 months. It has been hypothesized that the therapeutic effects of subsequent cell-depleting agents may be compromised if lymphocyte recovery is still incomplete and that shorter wash-out periods do not affect the disease reactivation risk.

Objectives

To assess the risk of relapses following FTY discontinuation and the initiation of a B/T cell-depleting agent initiation in relation to the duration of wash-out between the drugs using data from the Italian MS Registry.

Methods

Patients who initiated alemtuzumab, rituximab, ocrelizumab or cladribine within six months of FTY discontinuation, and with a follow-up of at least six months, or until a relapse occurred, were included in the study. The risk of relapses was assessed in relation to different wash-out durations (<6, 6-11, 12-17 and >/=18 weeks) using a Poisson regression analysis (and reported as incidence rate ratio - IRR) and a Cox proportional hazards model including age, disease duration, relapses during FTY treatment, EDSS and reason for FTY discontinuation as covariates.

Results

Inclusion criteria were met by 329 patients (226F, 103M; mean age 41±10 years). Following a median wash-out period of 11 weeks [IQR: 6-16], 175 patients started alemtuzumab, 69 rituximab, 68 ocrelizumab and 17 cladribine. Ninety patients relapsed during the wash-out period and 72 during the subsequent cell-depleting therapy. During the cell-depleting treatment, IRR for a relapse was significantly greater in patients with a washout-period of 12-17 (IRR (95%CI): 2.4 (1,1-5,5); p=0.037) and >/=18 weeks (6.0 (2.8-12.7); p<0.001) compared to the reference period (<6 weeks).

The multivariable Cox analysis showed that the time to a relapse was significantly influenced by the occurrence of relapses during FTY treatment (HR (95%CI): 1.4 (1.2-1.7); p<0.001). Moreover, wash-out durations of 6-11, 12-17 and >/=18 weeks were associated with a higher risk of a relapse in comparison to wash-out durations shorter than 6 weeks (3.8 (1.1-13.2); p=0.037; 6.0 (1.7-21.9); p=0.006; 16.3 (4.8-56.3); p<0.001, respectively).

Conclusions

The risk of relapses during a cell-depleting therapy following a sequestering agent, namely FTY, increases progressively with the duration of wash-out, underlining the need of a short wash-out period also in this type of treatment sequence.

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Presenter Of 1 Presentation

Epidemiology Poster Presentation

P0506 - Towards a validated Secondary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis definition: A study from the Italian MS Register (ID 1432)

Abstract

Background

No clear metrics for sensitive and reliable identification of the transition from relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) to secondary progressive (SP)MS are available.

Objectives

To compare diagnostic performances of two different data-driven Secondary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis definitions.

Methods

patient with RRMS with a follow-up ≥5 years, with a current age ≥18 years, and with ≥3 EDSS scores recorded were selected from the Italian MS Registry. Annual incidence of SPMS conversion was reported as number of patients converting to SP every 100 patients/year. Three different SPMS definitions have been used. Data-driven definitions based on the Lorscheider’s algorithm (LA) and on the EXPAND trial inclusion criteria were validated, using the neurologist’s definition as gold standard, in terms of calibration, discrimination and goodness of fit by calculating: sensitivity, specificity, Positive Predictive Value (PPV), Negative Predictive Value (NPV), the Akaike information criterion (AIC), the Area Under the Curve (AUC). The overall calibration of the data-driven definitions was evaluated by the Calibration Slope test.

Results

a cohort of 10,240 RRMS patients was extracted from the Italian MS Registry. According to the neurologist judgment, 880 (8.59%) patients were classified as SPMS in the dataset. By applying the LA and the EXPAND definition, 1,806 (17.64%) and 1,134 (11.07%) patients, respectively, were classified as SPMS. The annual rate of SP conversion during the follow-up was 0.74 every 100 patients/year based on the neurologist’s definition, 1.57 every 100 patients/year using the LA and 0.94 every 100 patients/year applying the EXPAND definition. Both the data-driven definitions were well calibrated, with a p-value of the Calibration Slope test higher than 0.05 (LA=0.55; EXPAND definition=0.57). The AIC (LA=4301; EXPAND definition=5510) and the R-Square (LA=0.15 vs EXPAND definition=0.05), were in favor of the LA. The LA showed a greater discrimination power (AUC: 0.83 vs 0.65) and a higher sensitivity (77.1% vs 38.0%) in comparison to the EXPAND definition. Both definitions showed similar specificity (88.0% vs 91.5%). The PPV and the NPV were both higher using the LA than those obtained by the EXPAND definition (37.5% vs 29.5%; 97.6% vs 94.0%, respectively).

Conclusions

An accurate definition of SP transition is needed for a timely and efficacious treatment of SPMS patients. Real-world data from the Italian MS Registry suggests that data-driven definitions had a greater ability to capture SP transition than neurologist’s definition and that the global accuracy of LA seems to be higher than a definition based on the EXPAND trial inclusion criteria.

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