Janssen Research & Devlopment, LLC
Statistics and Decision Sciences

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Clinical Outcome Measures Poster Presentation

P0048 - Comparative Efficacy of Relapsing Multiple Sclerosis Therapies: A Longitudinal Model-Based Meta-Analysis for Confirmed Disability Accumulation (ID 1257)

Speakers
Presentation Number
P0048
Presentation Topic
Clinical Outcome Measures

Abstract

Background

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is an inflammatory autoimmune disorder and causes progressive neurological disability in young adults. Ponesimod, a selective sphingosine-1-phosphate (S1P) receptor 1 immunomodulator, is under development for treatment of relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS).

Objectives

To assess the effect of ponesimod on confirmed disability accumulation (CDA) relative to placebo and other disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) in treating RMS.

Methods

A literature review was performed and a database of 154 unique trials with 58 MS treatments was developed. The database was filtered to include randomized controlled trials (RCTs) with >30 patients receiving monotherapy to treat RMS for at least 48 weeks. Results for CDA were reported with Kaplan-Meier plots; thus, extensive data were available to develop a longitudinal model for probability of a 12-week CDA event. A Weibull distribution was assumed to adequately capture the relationship of CDA probability over time, and hazard ratios (HRs) between treatments were assumed constant over time. Arm-level variables explored as effect modifiers included: percent of patients with remitting RMS, trial start year, mean duration of disease, percent of patients who received DMT within past 2 years (pDMT), mean relapses in prior year, mean age, and mean baseline EDSS score.

Results

This model utilized longitudinal data from 26 RCTs in RMS (18 unique treatments [including placebo], 69 treatment arms, and 417 timepoints in 31,160 patients). HRs were estimated for 12-week CDA for 17 treatments vs. placebo. A dose-response relationship was included if data at multiple doses were available and results indicated a potential dose-dependent effect (6 treatments). Relative treatment effect was found to be significantly smaller in trials with higher pDMT. Results favored ponesimod in comparison to placebo (HR: 0.61; 95% CI: 0.44–0.83), glatiramer acetate (0.65; 0.44–0.94), and interferon β-1b (0.51; 0.33–0.77) in delaying 12-week CDA. Ponesimod was estimated to have numerical improvement to S1P receptor modulators fingolimod, ozanimod, laquinimod, as well as teriflunomide, interferon β-1a (intramuscular and subcutaneous), peginterferon β-1a, cladribine, daclizumab, and dimethyl fumarate (HR range: 0.77–0.94).

Conclusions

Ponesimod was statistically superior compared to placebo and a range of other DMTs suggesting robust efficacy in the treatment of MS.

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