Background

The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has introduced uncertainties into the multiple sclerosis (MS) community and the focus so far has been the severity of infection among people with MS (pwMS) who have COVID-19. This approach has left questions about the risk of contracting disease in pwMS unanswered which has implications as society gradually returns to normal.

Objectives

To evaluate the trend of COVID-19 incidence in pwMS, their behaviour in response to the outbreak, and the effect of their demographic and clinical characteristics on the likelihood of contracting COVID-19.

Methods

The United Kingdom MS Register (UKMSR) has been collecting demographic and MS related data since 2011 from pwMS all over the UK. On 17 March 2020, existing participants of the UKMSR were asked to join the COVID-19 study. The study was also advertised through social media. In this on-going study, pwMS answer a COVID-19 related survey at participation and a different follow-up survey every two weeks depending on whether they report COVID-19.

Results

We estimate the nationwide overall incidence of COVID-19 in pwMS as 10% (n=522) among 5237 participants until 24 June 2020. The weekly incidence peaked during the 2^nd week after lockdown started on 23 March 2020 (13.2%) and remained high until it dropped to 3.5% in the 10^th week. The mean (standard deviation) age of the study population was 52.4 (11.9), 76.1% (n=3985) were female, and 95.7% (n=5012) were of white ethnicity. PwMS with a higher web-based Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score are more likely to self-isolate (odds ratio [OR] 1.389, 95%CI [confidence interval] 1.333−1.447). PwMS who are taking disease modifying therapies (DMTs) and those with progressive MS tend to self-isolate more (OR 1.259, 95%CI 1.059−1.497 and OR 1.245, 95% CI 1.013−1.531, respectively). Older age, progressive MS, and white ethnicity were associated with a lower likelihood of having COVID-19 (OR 0.969, 95%CI 0.957−0.982 and OR 0.595, 95% 0.422−0.838 and OR 0.495, 95%CI 0.347−0.705, respectively). Gender, EDSS, MS Impact Scale version 29 scores and DMTs did not alter the likelihood of contracting COVID-19.

Conclusions

To our knowledge, this is the largest community-based study of COVID-19 in pwMS worldwide. The trend of COVID-19 in pwMS is comparable to that of the UK general population. During a period with strict physical distancing measures, pwMS are not at an increased risk of contracting COVID-19.

Background

Anxiety and depression are more common in people with multiple sclerosis (pwMS) compared to people without MS. The unpredictable nature of the COVID-19 pandemic has caused widespread distress, but it is unknown if it would affect pwMS disproportionately.

Objectives

To evaluate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the mood and well-being of pwMS in the UK and compare it to that of controls.

Methods

The UK MS Register has been collecting Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS) data of pwMS since 2011. In the mood and well-being UKMSR COVID-19 study, we asked pwMS (n=5240) and controls (n=376) to answer questions on General Anxiety Disorder-7 (GAD-7), Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9) for depression and Revised Impact of Event Scale (IES-R) for post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) in addition to changes in their lifestyle and well-being during the COVID-19 outbreak.

Results

The HADS score of pwMS (n=2225) during the COVID-19 outbreak had not changed compared to the year before (mean difference 0.004, 95%CI -0.11−0.12, p=0.952 for anxiety and mean difference 0.05, 95%CI -0.05−0.15, p=0.283 for depression). The rate of anxiety (GAD-7>5) in male pwMS (37.2%) was more than controls (24.3%) (p=0.032) but was similar in female pwMS and controls. More male pwMS had moderate to severe depression (PHQ-9>9) compared to controls (28.5.4% vs 12.2%, p=0.003), but again, the rate was similar in females. More pwMS who had COVID-19, experienced anxiety or PTSD (IES-R>32) compared to those without the infection (54% vs 44%, p=0.018; 30.5% vs 22.5%, p=0.024, respectively). The rate of depression was similar in pwMS with or without symptoms of the disease. Anxiety, compared to the actual infection, was more strongly associated with subjective worsening of general health (57.1% vs 37.3%, with anxiety or COVID-19 respectively, p=0.008) or MS symptoms (61% vs 31.3%, p<0.001).

A high proportion of both pwMS and controls did not experience any change in the quality of their relationships. However, more pwMS reported worsening of their relationships compared to controls (21.4% vs 16.7%, p<0.001). The change in loneliness was similar between the two groups with 4 in 10 pwMS and controls feeling lonelier during the outbreak.

Conclusions

Anxiety during the COVID-19 pandemic is having a more profound effect on the general well-being of most patients compared to the infection itself.

Background

Our current understanding of demographic and clinical modifiers of the effectiveness of multiple sclerosis (MS) therapies is limited.

Objectives

To assess whether patients’ response to disease modifying therapies (DMT) in MS varies by disease activity (annualised relapse rate, presence of new MRI lesions), disability, age, MS duration or disease phenotype.

Methods

Using the international MSBase registry, we selected patients with MS followed for ≥1 year, with ≥3 visits, ≥1 visit per year. Marginal structural models (MSMs) were used to compare the hazard ratios (HR) of 6-month confirmed worsening and improvement of disability (EDSS), and the incidence of relapses between treated and untreated periods. MSMs were continuously re-adjusted for patient age, sex, pregnancy, date, time from first symptom, prior relapse history, disability and MRI activity.

Results

Among 23 687 patients with relapsing MS, those on DMT experienced 20% greater chance of disability improvement [HR 1.20 (95% CI 1.0-1.5)], 47% lower risk of disability worsening [HR 0.53 (0.39-0.71)] and 51% reduction in relapses [HR 0.49 (0.43-0.55)]. The effect of DMT on relapses and EDSS worsening was attenuated with longer MS duration and higher prior relapse rate. The effect of DMT on EDSS improvement and relapses was more evident in low EDSS categories. DMT was associated with 51% EDSS improvement in patients without new MRI lesions [HR 1.51 (1.00-2.28)] compared to 4% in those with MRI activity [HR 1.04 (0.88-1.24)]. Among 26329 participants with relapsing or progressive MS, DMT was associated with 25% reduction in EDSS worsening and 42% reduction in relapses in patients with relapsing MS [HR 0.75 (0.65-0.86) and HR 0.58 (CI 0.54-62), respectively], while evidence for such beneficial effects of treatment in patients with progressive MS was not found [HR 1.11 (0.91-1.46) and HR 1.16 (0.91-1.46), respectively].

Conclusions

DMTs are associated with reduction in relapse frequency, progression of disability, and increased chance of recovery from disability. In general, the effectiveness of DMTs was most pronounced in subgroups with shorter MS duration, lower EDSS, lower relapse rate and relapsing MS phenotype.