Background

to date, no consensus exists on how aggressively and timely treat relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) patients.

Objectives

To evaluate disability trajectories in a cohort of RRMS patients stratified according to two different disease modifying therapy (DMT) strategies, early intensive treatment (EIT) or moderate-efficacy treatment followed by escalation to higher-efficacy DMT (ESC).

Methods

RRMS patients with ≥5-year follow-up and ≥3 visits after start DMT, and a first visit within 3 years from disease onset were selected from the Italian MS Registry. EIT group included patients who received, as first DMT, fingolimod, natalizumab, mitoxantrone, alemtuzumab, ocrelizumab, cladribine. ESC group included those who received the high efficacy DMT after ≥1 year of glatiramer acetate, interferons, azathioprine, teriflunomide or dimethylfumarate treatment. Patients were 1:1 propensity score(PS)-matched for characteristics at the first DMT. The follow-up time from the first DMT start has been segmented into 12-month periods. The disability trajectories were evaluated by applying a longitudinal model for repeated measures with an autoregressive variance-covariance structure. The effect of early versus late start of high-efficacy DMT was assessed by the mean annual EDSS changes compared to baseline values (delta-EDSS) in EIT and ESC groups.

Results

The study cohort included 2,652 RRMS patients from 62 Italian MS centers. The PS matching procedure produced 365 pairs. The median (IQR) follow-up after the first DMT start was 8.5 (6.5–11.7) years. All of the ESC patients escalated to a higher-efficacy DMT after a median time of 5.1 (3.1–8.4) years. The estimated baseline EDSS with relative confidence interval (95% CI) value was 2.52 (2.33-2.71) in the ESC group and 2.45 (2.26-2.64) in the EIT group. Mean delta-EDSS at each 12 month period were all significantly (p<0.02) higher in the ESC group compared to the EIT group. In particular, the mean delta-EDSS differences between the two groups tend to increase from 0.1 (0.01-0.19, p=0.03) at 1 year to 0.30 (0.07-0.53, p=0.009) at 5 years and to 0.67 (0.31-1.03, p=0.0003) at 10 years.

Conclusions

Our results indicate that EIT strategy is more effective than ESC strategy in controlling disability progression and the effect tends to increase over time despite patients in the ESC group escalated to a higher-efficacy DMT.

Background

Background: Except for ocrelizumab, treatment options in primary progressive multiple sclerosis (PPMS) are lacking, as randomized clinical trials failed to show efficacy in reducing disability progression in this patient population.

Objectives

Objective: To investigate the effectiveness of disease-modifying treatment (DMT) on hard disability outcomes (EDSS 6 and 7) in a real-life population of PPMS patients.

Methods

Methods: Using the Italian MS Registry, we selected PPMS patients with at least three EDSS evaluations and three years of follow-up. Study baseline was defined as the first EDSS evaluation for untreated patients and the date of the first DMT initiation for treated patients. The impact of DMT on the risk of reaching EDSS 6 and 7 was assessed as a dichotomous variable (yes versus no) and as a time-dependent covariate through multivariable Cox regression models (adjusted for age at baseline, sex, first EDSS score, symptoms at onset, annualized visit rate, annualized relapse rate). We compared outcomes with an as-treated analysis and used propensity-score matching (PSM) to select cohorts with comparable baseline characteristics. DMT-exposure was also evaluated in terms of quartiles of exposure.

Results

Results: Of the 1214 patients we included 671 females, mean ± Standard Deviation baseline age 48.7 ± 11.1 years, mean EDSS score 4.1 ± 1.8, 790 (65%) received a DMT during the follow-up (57% platform and 43% highly active treatments). In the whole sample, after a mean follow-up of 11.6 ± 6.3 years, 994 (82%) patients reached EDSS 6 and 539 (44%) EDSS 7. In the multivariable Cox regression models, the use of DMT analyzed as a dichotomous variable did not influence the risk of reaching EDSS 6 (aHR=1.1, 95% CI 0.95-1.28, p=0.181) and EDSS 7 (aHR = 0.93, 95% CI 0.77-1.12. p = 0.454). However, longer DMT exposure significantly reduced the risk of reaching EDSS 7 (aHR = 0.73, 95% CI 0.56-0.95, p =0.021). Of note, patients in the upper quartile of DMT exposure compared with those with shorter DMT exposure were younger at baseline (mean age 44.1 ± 10.6 years; p < 0.001) and received the first DMT closer to the disease onset (mean time to first DMT 6.8 years ± 6.1 ; p=0.002). All these findings were confirmed in the PSM analysis.

Conclusions

Conclusion: Our results suggest that longer exposure to DMT may delay time to wheelchair in PPMS patients. Moreover, treating younger patients and reducing the delay to treatment initiation may improve the patients’ long-term disability outcomes. To optimize treatment decision-making in PPMS further profiling of the best candidates to treatment is needed.

Background

Historically, disease activity diminished during pregnancy in women with relapsing-remitting MS. Today, women with high disease activity are more likely to attempt pregnancy due to the disease control that new therapies offer. But disease activity during pregnancy in the modern day remains understudied.

Objectives

Describe disease activity in a modern pregnancy cohort, grouped by preconception disease-modifying therapy (DMT) class; determine the predictors of relapse during pregnancy.

Methods

Data were obtained from the MSBase Registry. Term/preterm pregnancies conceived from 2011-2019 were included. DMT were classed by low, moderate and high-efficacy. Annualized relapse rates (ARR) were calculated for each pregnancy trimester and 12 months either side. Predictors of relapse during pregnancy were determined using clustered logistic regression.

Results

We included 1640 pregnancies from 1452 women. DMT used in the year before conception were none (n=346), low (n=845), moderate (n=207) and high-efficacy (n=242). Most common DMT in each class was interferon-beta (n=597), fingolimod (n=147) and natalizumab (n=219) for low, moderate and high-efficacy respectively. Conception EDSS ≥2 was more common in higher efficacy DMT groups (high: 41.3%; moderate 28.5%; low 22.4%; none 20.2%). For low-efficacy and no DMT groups, ARR fell through pregnancy. ARR of the moderate-efficacy group increased in the 1^st pregnancy trimester (0.55 [95% CI 0.36-0.80] vs 0.14 [95% CI 0.10-0.21] on low-efficacy), then decreased to a trough in the third. Conversely, ARR steadily increased throughout pregnancy for those on high-efficacy DMT (3^rd trimester: 0.42 [95% CI 0.25-0.66] vs 0.12 [95% CI 0.07-0.19] on low-efficacy). Higher efficacy DMT groups were associated with higher ARR in the early postpartum period (high: 0.84 [95% CI 0.62-1.1]; moderate: 0.90 [95% CI 0.65-1.2]; low: 0.47 [95% CI 0.38-0.58]). Preconception use of high and moderate-efficacy DMT and higher preconception ARR were predictors of relapse in pregnancy. But, continuation of high-efficacy DMT into pregnancy was protective against relapse (odds ratio 0.80 [95% CI 0.68-0.94]). Age ≥35 years was associated with reduced odds of relapse.

Conclusions

Women with RRMS treated with moderate or high-efficacy DMT are at greater risk of relapse during pregnancy. Careful pregnancy management, and use of long-acting high-efficacy DMT preconception, or continuing natalizumab into pregnancy, may prevent relapse in pregnancy.

Background

Our current understanding of demographic and clinical modifiers of the effectiveness of multiple sclerosis (MS) therapies is limited.

Objectives

To assess whether patients’ response to disease modifying therapies (DMT) in MS varies by disease activity (annualised relapse rate, presence of new MRI lesions), disability, age, MS duration or disease phenotype.

Methods

Using the international MSBase registry, we selected patients with MS followed for ≥1 year, with ≥3 visits, ≥1 visit per year. Marginal structural models (MSMs) were used to compare the hazard ratios (HR) of 6-month confirmed worsening and improvement of disability (EDSS), and the incidence of relapses between treated and untreated periods. MSMs were continuously re-adjusted for patient age, sex, pregnancy, date, time from first symptom, prior relapse history, disability and MRI activity.

Results

Among 23 687 patients with relapsing MS, those on DMT experienced 20% greater chance of disability improvement [HR 1.20 (95% CI 1.0-1.5)], 47% lower risk of disability worsening [HR 0.53 (0.39-0.71)] and 51% reduction in relapses [HR 0.49 (0.43-0.55)]. The effect of DMT on relapses and EDSS worsening was attenuated with longer MS duration and higher prior relapse rate. The effect of DMT on EDSS improvement and relapses was more evident in low EDSS categories. DMT was associated with 51% EDSS improvement in patients without new MRI lesions [HR 1.51 (1.00-2.28)] compared to 4% in those with MRI activity [HR 1.04 (0.88-1.24)]. Among 26329 participants with relapsing or progressive MS, DMT was associated with 25% reduction in EDSS worsening and 42% reduction in relapses in patients with relapsing MS [HR 0.75 (0.65-0.86) and HR 0.58 (CI 0.54-62), respectively], while evidence for such beneficial effects of treatment in patients with progressive MS was not found [HR 1.11 (0.91-1.46) and HR 1.16 (0.91-1.46), respectively].

Conclusions

DMTs are associated with reduction in relapse frequency, progression of disability, and increased chance of recovery from disability. In general, the effectiveness of DMTs was most pronounced in subgroups with shorter MS duration, lower EDSS, lower relapse rate and relapsing MS phenotype.

Background

The kappa index, calculated by dividing the cerebrospinal (CSF)/serum kappa free light chain (KFLC) ratio by the CSF/serum albumin ratio, is gaining increasing interest as an indirect marker of intrathecal activation of the humoral immune response. The demonstration of intrathecal synthesis is of particular relevance in the diagnostic work-up of suspected Multiple Sclerosis. However, the lack of consistent data on inter-laboratory agreement in CSF and serum KFLC measurements is one of the factors that hamper the use of kappa index in routine practice.

Objectives

Aim of this study was to assess agreement in CSF and serum KFLC measurements and kappa index values across different laboratories.

Methods

Fifteen paired CSF and serum samples were analyzed in all participating laboratories (nr=8). Four centers used Binding Site instruments and assays, 3 centers used Siemens instruments and assays, and one center used a Siemens instrument and a Binding Site assay.

Absolute individual agreement between laboratories was calculated using a two-way mixed effects intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC). Cohen's kappa coefficient was used to measure inter-laboratory agreement on positive (≥5.8) kappa index values.

Results

Within Binding Site laboratories, ICC for KFLC measurements was 0.96 (95%CI: 0.9-0.98) for CSF, 0.93 (95%CI: 0.63-0.98) for serum and 0.97 (95%CI: 0.94-0.99) for kappa index values. Within Siemens laboratories, ICC for KFLC measurements was 0.99 (95%CI: 0.97-100) for CSF, 0.93 (95%CI: 0.48-0.98) for serum and 0.95 (95%CI: 0.89-0.98) for kappa index values. ICC calculated for all laboratories was 0.93 (95%CI: 0.87-0.97) for CSF KFLC, 0.81 (95%CI: 0.53-0.93) for serum KFLC and 0.65 (95%CI: 0.43-0.84) for kappa index. Cohen's kappa coefficient for a positive kappa index was 0.89 across Binding Site laboratories, 0.70 across Siemens laboratories, and 0.77 across all laboratories.

Conclusions

There was an excellent agreement in CSF KFLC measurements and in kappa index values within laboratories using the same instrument and assay (Binding Site or Siemens), while serum KFLC measurements were less concordant. Agreement across all laboratories was decreased when including the laboratory using a Siemens instrument coupled with a Binding Site assay in the analyses. Concordance for a positive kappa index was substantial across all laboratories and within Siemens laboratories, and very good within Binding Site laboratories.

Background

Dimethyl fumarate (DMF) is an effective treatment for relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) patients. Besides a partially known mechanism of action involving both neuroprotective and antioxidant effects, it causes a mean lymphocyte count drop of approximately 30%, typically occurring within the first year of treatment. Several studies investigated the relationship between this reduction and DMF effectiveness, with heterogeneous methods, obtaining contradictory results.

Objectives

To investigate if absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) decrease during DMF treatment is associated with drug effectiveness on clinical and MRI disease activity in a real-life cohort of patients treated with DMF for at least 6 months. Secondary aims were to evaluate ALC variations over time and the impact of baseline demographic and clinical factors on DMF-induced lymphopenia.

Methods

Demographic, laboratory, clinical and MRI data were collected in this retrospective, observational multicentre study, conducted on RRMS patients attending nine MS centers of Emilia-Romagna region (Northern Italy). Multivariate Cox models were performed to evaluate the impact of six month-ALC drop on time to NEDA-3 (“no evidence of disease activity”) status loss and Kaplan-Meier curves were generated to display the results. Multivariate logistic regression was carried out to analyse possible predictors of lymphopenia.

Results

476 patients (312 females, age at DMF start 38.4 ± 9.97 years) were analysed during a mean follow-up time of 29 months (range 6-61 months). A greater lymphocyte decrease was associated with a longer NEDA-3 status (HR 0.87, p = 0.01), relapse-free (HR 0.85, p = 0.03) and MRI activity-free survival (HR 0.80, p < 0.0001). A higher risk of NEDA-3 status loss (p=0.008) was observed in tertile with lower ALC drop (< 11.5%), compared with other tertiles (11.5-40.5% and >40.5% ALC drop, respectively). A shorter activity-free survival was also influenced by younger age at DMF start (HR 0.98, p = 0.03). The nadir of mean ALC drop (-33.6%) and 35% of grade III lymphopenia cases occurred after 12 months of treatment. An older age at DMF start (OR 1.03, 95% CI 1.00-1.06, p = 0.009) and lower ALC at baseline (OR 1.69, 95% CI 1.34-2.14, p < 0.0001) predicted higher risk of lymphopenia.

Conclusions

A higher lymphocyte count drop at six months is related to better outcomes in DMF-treated patients. A careful ALC monitoring should be pursued up to 24 months of treatment.

Background

No clear metrics for sensitive and reliable identification of the transition from relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) to secondary progressive (SP)MS are available.

Objectives

To compare diagnostic performances of two different data-driven Secondary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis definitions.

Methods

patient with RRMS with a follow-up ≥5 years, with a current age ≥18 years, and with ≥3 EDSS scores recorded were selected from the Italian MS Registry. Annual incidence of SPMS conversion was reported as number of patients converting to SP every 100 patients/year. Three different SPMS definitions have been used. Data-driven definitions based on the Lorscheider’s algorithm (LA) and on the EXPAND trial inclusion criteria were validated, using the neurologist’s definition as gold standard, in terms of calibration, discrimination and goodness of fit by calculating: sensitivity, specificity, Positive Predictive Value (PPV), Negative Predictive Value (NPV), the Akaike information criterion (AIC), the Area Under the Curve (AUC). The overall calibration of the data-driven definitions was evaluated by the Calibration Slope test.

Results

a cohort of 10,240 RRMS patients was extracted from the Italian MS Registry. According to the neurologist judgment, 880 (8.59%) patients were classified as SPMS in the dataset. By applying the LA and the EXPAND definition, 1,806 (17.64%) and 1,134 (11.07%) patients, respectively, were classified as SPMS. The annual rate of SP conversion during the follow-up was 0.74 every 100 patients/year based on the neurologist’s definition, 1.57 every 100 patients/year using the LA and 0.94 every 100 patients/year applying the EXPAND definition. Both the data-driven definitions were well calibrated, with a p-value of the Calibration Slope test higher than 0.05 (LA=0.55; EXPAND definition=0.57). The AIC (LA=4301; EXPAND definition=5510) and the R-Square (LA=0.15 vs EXPAND definition=0.05), were in favor of the LA. The LA showed a greater discrimination power (AUC: 0.83 vs 0.65) and a higher sensitivity (77.1% vs 38.0%) in comparison to the EXPAND definition. Both definitions showed similar specificity (88.0% vs 91.5%). The PPV and the NPV were both higher using the LA than those obtained by the EXPAND definition (37.5% vs 29.5%; 97.6% vs 94.0%, respectively).

Conclusions

An accurate definition of SP transition is needed for a timely and efficacious treatment of SPMS patients. Real-world data from the Italian MS Registry suggests that data-driven definitions had a greater ability to capture SP transition than neurologist’s definition and that the global accuracy of LA seems to be higher than a definition based on the EXPAND trial inclusion criteria.

Background

Some cohort studies have reported similar onset age and disability accrual in primary and secondary progressive MS (PPMS, SPMS); others have reported later onset and faster disability accrual in SPMS. Comparisons are complicated by differences in baseline disability and exposure to disease-modifying therapies (DMT), and by lack of a standardized definition of SPMS.

Objectives

We compared hazards of disability accrual in PPMS and SPMS patients from the MSBase cohort using multivariable Cox models, applying validated diagnostic criteria for SPMS (Lorscheider et al., Brain 2016).

Methods

Inclusion required adult-onset progressive MS; ≥ 3 recorded Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores; and, for SPMS, initial records with EDSS ≤ 3 to allow objective identification of SPMS conversion. Phenotypes were subgrouped as active (PPMS-A, SPMS-A) if ≥ 1 progressive-phase relapse was recorded, and inactive (PPMS-N, SPMS-N) otherwise. Disability accrual was defined by sustained EDSS increases confirmed over ≥ 6 months. Hazard ratios (HR) for disability accrual were obtained using Andersen-Gill Cox models, adjusted for sex and time-varying age, disability, visit frequency, and proportion of time on DMT or immunosuppressive therapy. Sensitivity analyses were performed using (1) PPMS and SPMS diagnosed since 1995, and (2) physician-diagnosed SPMS. Cumulative probability of reaching EDSS ≥ 7 (wheelchair required) was assessed (Kaplan-Meier).

Results

5461 patients were included (1257 PPMS-N; 1308 PPMS-A; 1731 SPMS-N; 1165 SPMS-A). Age at progression onset was older in SPMS than PPMS (47.2 ± 10.2, vs. 41.5 ± 10.7 [mean ± SD]), and in the inactive subgroups of each phenotype. Hazard of disability accrual was decreased in SPMS relative to PPMS (HR 0.85; 95% CI 0.78–0.92); decreased by proportion of time on DMT (HR 0.99 per 10% increment; 0.98–0.99); and higher in males (1.18; 1.12–1.25). Relative to PPMS-N, hazard was decreased in SPMS-A (0.79; 0.71–0.87) but similar for PPMS-A (1.01; 0.93–1.10) and SPMS-N (0.94; 0.85–1.05). Sensitivity analyses corroborated these results. However, patients with SPMS-A reached EDSS ≥ 7 at younger ages (cumulative probability 30% by 57, vs. 64–66 for SPMS-N, PPMS-A, PPMS-N).

Conclusions

Progressive phase onset is later in SPMS than PPMS. Hazard of disability accrual during the progressive phase is lower in SPMS than PPMS. However, patients with SPMS-A reach wheelchair requirement younger than other progressive phenotypes, reflecting earlier progression onset versus SPMS-N, and greater disability at onset versus PPMS

Background

A wash-out duration lasting >1–2 months between the majority of sequential disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) is associated with an increased risk of disease reactivation in Multiple Sclerosis (MS) patients.

Fingolimod (FTY) induces sequestration of lymphocytes in secondary lymphoid organs and the average lymphocyte recovery following discontinuation takes 1-2 months. It has been hypothesized that the therapeutic effects of subsequent cell-depleting agents may be compromised if lymphocyte recovery is still incomplete and that shorter wash-out periods do not affect the disease reactivation risk.

Objectives

To assess the risk of relapses following FTY discontinuation and the initiation of a B/T cell-depleting agent initiation in relation to the duration of wash-out between the drugs using data from the Italian MS Registry.

Methods

Patients who initiated alemtuzumab, rituximab, ocrelizumab or cladribine within six months of FTY discontinuation, and with a follow-up of at least six months, or until a relapse occurred, were included in the study. The risk of relapses was assessed in relation to different wash-out durations (<6, 6-11, 12-17 and >/=18 weeks) using a Poisson regression analysis (and reported as incidence rate ratio - IRR) and a Cox proportional hazards model including age, disease duration, relapses during FTY treatment, EDSS and reason for FTY discontinuation as covariates.

Results

Inclusion criteria were met by 329 patients (226F, 103M; mean age 41±10 years). Following a median wash-out period of 11 weeks [IQR: 6-16], 175 patients started alemtuzumab, 69 rituximab, 68 ocrelizumab and 17 cladribine. Ninety patients relapsed during the wash-out period and 72 during the subsequent cell-depleting therapy. During the cell-depleting treatment, IRR for a relapse was significantly greater in patients with a washout-period of 12-17 (IRR (95%CI): 2.4 (1,1-5,5); p=0.037) and >/=18 weeks (6.0 (2.8-12.7); p<0.001) compared to the reference period (<6 weeks).

The multivariable Cox analysis showed that the time to a relapse was significantly influenced by the occurrence of relapses during FTY treatment (HR (95%CI): 1.4 (1.2-1.7); p<0.001). Moreover, wash-out durations of 6-11, 12-17 and >/=18 weeks were associated with a higher risk of a relapse in comparison to wash-out durations shorter than 6 weeks (3.8 (1.1-13.2); p=0.037; 6.0 (1.7-21.9); p=0.006; 16.3 (4.8-56.3); p<0.001, respectively).

Conclusions

The risk of relapses during a cell-depleting therapy following a sequestering agent, namely FTY, increases progressively with the duration of wash-out, underlining the need of a short wash-out period also in this type of treatment sequence.

Background

Disease activity has been investigated in pregnant women with RRMS treated with low-efficacy or no therapy. How newer, more efficacious therapies affect relapse and disability progression risk after pregnancy remains understudied.

Objectives

To describe disease activity in a modern pregnancy cohort contrasted with historical cohorts. To determine the predictors of postpartum relapse and the predictors of six-month confirmed disability progression events in a contemporary pregnancy cohort.

Methods

Data were obtained from the MSBase Registry. Term/preterm pregnancies conceived from 2011-2019 (modern cohort) were compared with those conceived between 2005-2010 and pre-2005. Annualised relapse rates (ARR) were calculated for each pregnancy trimester and 12 months either side. Predictors of time-to-relapse postpartum (1^st 3 months) and time to 6-month confirmed disability progression event were determined with clustered Cox regression analyses. Breastfeeding duration and time to DMT reinitiation were modelled as time-varying covariates.

Results

We included 1640 pregnancies from 1452 women (modern cohort). Disease-modifying therapy (DMT) used in the year before conception included interferon-beta (n=597), natalizumab (n=219) and fingolimod (n=147). Continuation of DMT up to conception increased over time (31% pre-2005 vs 54% modern cohort). Preconception ARR decreased across epochs (pre-2005: 0·58 [95% CI 0·49-0·70]; 2005-2010: 0·40 [95% CI 0·36-0·45]; modern: 0·29 [95% CI 0·27-0·32]). In all epochs, ARR decreased during pregnancy to reach similar troughs in the 3^rd trimester, and rebounded in the 1^st 3-months postpartum. Preconception use of high-efficacy DMT predicted early postpartum relapse (hazard ratio (HR) 2.1 [1.4-3.1]); although those on no DMT were also at risk of postpartum relapse, relative to women on low-efficacy DMT (HR 2.7 [1.2-5.9]). Conception EDSS ≥2, higher preconception and in-pregnancy ARR were also risk factors. DMT reinitiation, particularly of high-efficacy DMT (HR 0.17 [0.07-0.38]), was protective against postpartum relapse. Women who breastfed were less likely to relapse (HR 0.63 [0.42-0.94]). 4.5% of modern pregnancies had confirmed disability progression after delivery. This was predicted by higher pregnancy and postpartum ARR, with postpartum ARR remaining independently predictive in multivariable analysis (HR 1.5 [1.2-2.0]).

Conclusions

The early postpartum period remains a period of vulnerability for disease rebound in women with MS in the modern era. Early DMT reinitiation, particularly with high-efficacy treatment, is protective against postpartum relapse. Confirmed disability progression events after pregnnacy are uncommon in the modern era. Relapse activity is the key driver of these events.