Department of Neurology, John Hunter Hospital, Hunter New England Health

Author Of 2 Presentations

Genetics and Epigenetics Oral Presentation

PS08.03 - Deconvolution of epigenetic profiles reveals blood cell-specific pathways associated with early stage Multiple Sclerosis in the AusImmune Study

Speakers
Presentation Number
PS08.03
Presentation Topic
Genetics and Epigenetics
Lecture Time
13:15 - 13:27

Abstract

Background

Genomic DNA methylation is a modifiable epigenetic mechanism that exhibits wide-spread variation among blood cell types. Methylation can influence disease phenotypes via modulating the effects of genetic and environmental factors on gene expression. Changes in methylation at the human leukocyte antigen gene (HLA-DRB1) have been previously associated with multiple sclerosis (MS) in both T lymphocytes and monocytes. This association is influenced by the well-established MS haplotype at this locus.

Objectives

To further characterise the cell-specific methylation profiles of MS by performing an epigenome-wide association study (EWAS) incorporating a statistical deconvolution of whole blood data

Methods

This was a case-control design involving subjects from the AusImmune Study. Specifically included were, 221 MS patients at first demyelination diagnosis and 468 population-based controls matched for age, sex and residential location. DNA methylation derived from whole blood was measured using Illumina EPIC arrays. EWAS analysis was performed using the ChAMP program. Cell deconvolution analysis was performed using the CellDMC function of the EpiDISH program . This method adjusts methylation levels by variation in blood cell proportions among subjects and can effectively estimate cell-specific methylation profiles without the need to do cell sorting. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) was performed using the ToppGene program. All tests were assessed for statistical significance using a false discovery rate (FDR) of 0.05.

Results

The top differentially methylated region (DMR) was HLA-DRB1, which included both hypo and hyper methylation loci (PFDR<0.05). The underlying HLA-DRB1 haplotype was strongly associated with these DMRs. Deconvolution analyses showed that the HLA-DRB1 signal specifically originated from T cells and monocytes, which is consistent with previous findings. Interestingly, cell-specific GSEA revealed associations with pathways related to axonal guidance signalling, specifically in T cells, natural killer (NK) cells, and B cells. In particular, epigenetic variation in the Netrin-1 signalling pathway in both NK and B cells was associated with MS in this cohort (PFDR<0.05). Netrin‐1, is an axon guidance protein that reduces serum levels of pro-inflammatory mediators and stabilizes the blood-brain barrier limiting the entrance of immune cells into the central nervous system. These pathways were not detected in whole blood methylation analyses, highlighting the importance of the cellular deconvolution approach.

Conclusions

These results provide provisional evidence that epigenetic variation in axonal signalling pathways is associated with early-stage MS in a cell-dependent manner. If validated, these findings might help guide future efforts in epigenetic medicine for MS.

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Gender Differences, Hormones and Sex Chromosomes Oral Presentation

PS12.04 - Pregnancy in a modern day multiple sclerosis cohort: Predictors of relapse during pregnancy

Abstract

Background

Historically, disease activity diminished during pregnancy in women with relapsing-remitting MS. Today, women with high disease activity are more likely to attempt pregnancy due to the disease control that new therapies offer. But disease activity during pregnancy in the modern day remains understudied.

Objectives

Describe disease activity in a modern pregnancy cohort, grouped by preconception disease-modifying therapy (DMT) class; determine the predictors of relapse during pregnancy.

Methods

Data were obtained from the MSBase Registry. Term/preterm pregnancies conceived from 2011-2019 were included. DMT were classed by low, moderate and high-efficacy. Annualized relapse rates (ARR) were calculated for each pregnancy trimester and 12 months either side. Predictors of relapse during pregnancy were determined using clustered logistic regression.

Results

We included 1640 pregnancies from 1452 women. DMT used in the year before conception were none (n=346), low (n=845), moderate (n=207) and high-efficacy (n=242). Most common DMT in each class was interferon-beta (n=597), fingolimod (n=147) and natalizumab (n=219) for low, moderate and high-efficacy respectively. Conception EDSS ≥2 was more common in higher efficacy DMT groups (high: 41.3%; moderate 28.5%; low 22.4%; none 20.2%). For low-efficacy and no DMT groups, ARR fell through pregnancy. ARR of the moderate-efficacy group increased in the 1st pregnancy trimester (0.55 [95% CI 0.36-0.80] vs 0.14 [95% CI 0.10-0.21] on low-efficacy), then decreased to a trough in the third. Conversely, ARR steadily increased throughout pregnancy for those on high-efficacy DMT (3rd trimester: 0.42 [95% CI 0.25-0.66] vs 0.12 [95% CI 0.07-0.19] on low-efficacy). Higher efficacy DMT groups were associated with higher ARR in the early postpartum period (high: 0.84 [95% CI 0.62-1.1]; moderate: 0.90 [95% CI 0.65-1.2]; low: 0.47 [95% CI 0.38-0.58]). Preconception use of high and moderate-efficacy DMT and higher preconception ARR were predictors of relapse in pregnancy. But, continuation of high-efficacy DMT into pregnancy was protective against relapse (odds ratio 0.80 [95% CI 0.68-0.94]). Age ≥35 years was associated with reduced odds of relapse.

Conclusions

Women with RRMS treated with moderate or high-efficacy DMT are at greater risk of relapse during pregnancy. Careful pregnancy management, and use of long-acting high-efficacy DMT preconception, or continuing natalizumab into pregnancy, may prevent relapse in pregnancy.

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Author Of 6 Presentations

Biostatistical Methods Poster Presentation

P0018 - Variability of the response to immunotherapy among sub-groups of patients with multiple sclerosis (ID 1239)

Abstract

Background

Our current understanding of demographic and clinical modifiers of the effectiveness of multiple sclerosis (MS) therapies is limited.

Objectives

To assess whether patients’ response to disease modifying therapies (DMT) in MS varies by disease activity (annualised relapse rate, presence of new MRI lesions), disability, age, MS duration or disease phenotype.

Methods

Using the international MSBase registry, we selected patients with MS followed for ≥1 year, with ≥3 visits, ≥1 visit per year. Marginal structural models (MSMs) were used to compare the hazard ratios (HR) of 6-month confirmed worsening and improvement of disability (EDSS), and the incidence of relapses between treated and untreated periods. MSMs were continuously re-adjusted for patient age, sex, pregnancy, date, time from first symptom, prior relapse history, disability and MRI activity.

Results

Among 23 687 patients with relapsing MS, those on DMT experienced 20% greater chance of disability improvement [HR 1.20 (95% CI 1.0-1.5)], 47% lower risk of disability worsening [HR 0.53 (0.39-0.71)] and 51% reduction in relapses [HR 0.49 (0.43-0.55)]. The effect of DMT on relapses and EDSS worsening was attenuated with longer MS duration and higher prior relapse rate. The effect of DMT on EDSS improvement and relapses was more evident in low EDSS categories. DMT was associated with 51% EDSS improvement in patients without new MRI lesions [HR 1.51 (1.00-2.28)] compared to 4% in those with MRI activity [HR 1.04 (0.88-1.24)]. Among 26329 participants with relapsing or progressive MS, DMT was associated with 25% reduction in EDSS worsening and 42% reduction in relapses in patients with relapsing MS [HR 0.75 (0.65-0.86) and HR 0.58 (CI 0.54-62), respectively], while evidence for such beneficial effects of treatment in patients with progressive MS was not found [HR 1.11 (0.91-1.46) and HR 1.16 (0.91-1.46), respectively].

Conclusions

DMTs are associated with reduction in relapse frequency, progression of disability, and increased chance of recovery from disability. In general, the effectiveness of DMTs was most pronounced in subgroups with shorter MS duration, lower EDSS, lower relapse rate and relapsing MS phenotype.

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Neuropsychology and Cognition Poster Presentation

P0831 - Validation of longitudinal reaction time trajectories in multiple sclerosis using the MSReactor computerized battery and latent class analysis. (ID 1660)

Speakers
Presentation Number
P0831
Presentation Topic
Neuropsychology and Cognition

Abstract

Background

Longitudinal cognitive trajectories in MS are heterogenous and difficult to measure. Computerised tests designed to screen broad cognitive domains may be a reliable method to detect discrete trajectories of cognitive performance

Objectives

To validate a latent class model to identify trajectories of reaction time change in people with relapsing remitting MS (pwRRMS).

Methods

The MSReactor computerised cognitive battery is a self-administered, online set of reaction time tasks assessing psychomotor function (PsychoM), visual attention (VisAtt) and working memory (WorkingM). Participants completed both 6-monthly in-clinic testing and additional remote testing. Latent class analysis was used to model the longitudinal reaction times and identify discrete cognitive trajectories within the heterogeneous data. We applied a cross validation method to confirm the optimal models for all three reaction time tasks. Briefly, the cohort was split into training and test sets (50:50) and the mean root mean square error (RMSE) calculated for the difference between training and test trajectories calculated at each day of follow up, over 100 repetitions. To determine the minimum number of tests required to reliably classify an individual into a longitudinal trajectory the dataset for each task was reduced to 3, 4 and 5 tests per participant and classification compared to the complete dataset.

Results

We included 478 pwRRMS who had completed at least 3 MSReactor tests over a minimum of 30 days follow up. In total, 3846 individual tests were included in each model (median tests/participant=5 (range 3-332), mean follow up of 774 +- 359.5 days). Three latent classes were identified for each task, with the PsychoM task identifying a group of pwRRMS with a mean predicted trajectory of slowing reaction times. In validation, the PsychoM task was the most consistent with the smallest RMSE for each of the 3 classes (68 milliseconds (ms), 95%CI 59-77ms; 61ms, 95% CI 50-72ms and 16ms, 95% CI 14-18ms) followed by the VisAtt task (RMSE = 114ms, 95ms and 29ms) and WorkingM task (RMSE = 137ms, 138ms and 46ms). Reduced datasets of 3, 4 and 5 tests per participant in the PsychoM task were able to classify participants into the trajectories identified in the full dataset model, with 83%, 86% and 90% accuracy respectively.

Conclusions

Latent class modelling of longitudinal reaction times collected with MSReactor was able to detect discrete trajectories of cognitive performance. The PsychoM task latent class model identified a group of RRMS with a mean predicted slowing of reaction times and was the most consistent model in cross validation. Performing the modelling on just 3, 4 or 5 tests per participant was highly accurate in defining latent trajectories, giving the battery clinical utility where multiple years of follow up may not be realistic.

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Observational Studies Poster Presentation

P0876 - High and low efficacy therapy in secondary progressive multiple sclerosis after accounting for therapeutic lag. (ID 760)

Abstract

Background

In secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS), reduction in the rates of disability accrual after starting disease modifying therapy (DMT) has largely been limited to patients with ongoing inflammatory activity. A delayed treatment effect, termed therapeutic lag, may obscure therapeutic benefits in SPMS.

Objectives

To compare the effect of high and low efficacy DMT on disability outcomes in patients with recently active and inactive SPMS after accounting for therapeutic lag.

Methods

Using data from MSBase, a multinational MS registry, and OFSEP, the French MS registry, we identified patients with SPMS as per a previously validated objective definition. We identified patients treated with high- (natalizumab, alemtuzumab, mitoxantrone, ocrelizumab, rituximab, cladribine, fingolimod) or low-efficacy (interferons, glatiramer acetate, teriflunomide) DMT after SPMS onset. Based on our previous work, an individualised estimate of duration of therapeutic lag was calculated for each patient. Only events that occurred after the estimated therapeutic lag period were included in the analysis. Propensity score matching was used to select groups with comparable baseline characteristics. Disability and relapse outcomes were compared in paired, pairwise-censored analyses adjusted for visit density.

Results

Of 7359 patients with SPMS, 1000 patients fulfilled the criteria for study inclusion (510 active SPMS, 490 inactive SPMS). For the relapse outcomes, patients with active SPMS treated with high-efficacy DMTs experienced lower probabilities of relapses than low-efficacy DMTs (hazard ratio [HR] 0.7 [95%CI 0.5-0.9], p=0.006). Patients with inactive SPMS had similar probabilities of relapses in the high and low efficacy DMT groups (0.8 [0.6-1.2], p=0.39). No difference in the risk of 6-month sustained disability accumulation, or proportion of patients reaching EDSS>=7, was observed between groups when accounting for therapeutic lag.

Conclusions

The risk of disability accumulation in SPMS seems to be comparable in patients treated with high- and low- efficacy DMT. High efficacy DMT is superior to low efficacy therapy in reducing relapse activity in patients with active SPMS, but not those with inactive SPMS. Pre-treatment inflammatory activity, clinical or radiological, is a treatable target in SPMS which may benefit from higher-efficacy anti-inflammatory therapies.

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Observational Studies Poster Presentation

P0907 - Real-world experience with Cladribine Tablets in the MSBase Registry (ID 1587)

Abstract

Background

Cladribine tablets are approved for treatment of multiple sclerosis (MS) in many jurisdictions. Real-world outcomes data is very limited.

Objectives

We analysed the cladribine treatment experience in the MSBase registry. We described baseline characteristics, treatment pathways, and relapse and discontinuation outcomes in patients with ≥6 months follow-up data from cladribine initiation.

Methods

We performed a secondary data analysis using MSBase Registry data of patients with a confirmed diagnosis of MS and newly treated with cladribine tablets after regulatory approval. Descriptive statistics were used to analyze baseline patient characteristics recorded within 3 months prior to cladribine tablets initiation, including demographics, disease course and duration, prior disease modifying drugs (DMD), and Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS).

Results

As of the 4th June 2020, MSBase included 660 patients treated with cladribine from 9 countries, mainly from Australia and Europe. A total of 576 met all inclusion criteria. These included 496 relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) patients. In these, median age at cladribine tablets start was 45 years and median disease duration since clinically isolated syndrome was 12.6 years. Median EDSS at cladribine tablets start was 2.5. Around 13% of all RRMS patients initiated cladribine tablets as first line therapy. Of all RRMS patients switching to cladribine tablets with a treatment gap of <6 months, the most common immediate prior DMDs were fingolimod (17%), followed by natalizumab, teriflunomide and dimethylfumarate (all appx. 10%). Total follow-up time was 340 patient-years. Annualised relapse rate (ARR) on cladribine tablets was 0.12 (95%CI 0.09-0.17), compared to a pre-cladribine ARR of 0.38. Treatment persistence was 95% after 12 months (95%CI 91-98%), and 92% after 24 months (95%CI 87-96%).

Conclusions

This study characterizes RRMS patients treated with cladribine tablets in a real-world clinic setting. First-line use was uncommon. ARR was low, consistent with clinical trial data, and early discontinuations were very rare.

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Observational Studies Poster Presentation

P0909 - Real-world experience with Ocrelizumab in the MSBase Registry (ID 1559)

Abstract

Background

Ocrelizumab (OCR) is a humanised anti-CD20+ monoclonal antibody approved for the treatment of primary progressive multiple sclerosis (PPMS), and relapsing forms of MS, including both relapsing-remitting (RRMS) and secondary progressive MS (SPMS) with relapses.

Objectives

In a real-world setting, to describe 1) baseline characteristics of patients with MS treated with OCR, 2) treatment pathway across lines of therapy up to initiation of OCR, and 3) initial clinical experience in patients with ≥6 months follow-up data from OCR initiation.

Methods

Secondary data analysis using MSBase Registry data including patients with a confirmed diagnosis of MS and started OCR therapy within 3 months prior to or at time of MSBase eligible/initial visit. Descriptive statistics were used to analyze baseline patient characteristics' recorded within 3 months of OCR initiation, including demographics, disease course and duration, prior disease modifying therapies (DMT), and EDSS. Occurrence of relapse was analyzed in patients with ≥6 months follow-up data from OCR initiation.

Results

As of 4th June 2020, MSBase included 2531 patients newly treated with OCR, of whom 1679 had an EDSS evaluation within 3 months of OCR start. There were 1185 patients with RRMS, 236 with SPMS, and 183 with PPMS. Median age at OCR initiation was 41.9 years, 49.5 years, to 50.1 years in RRMS, SPMS, and PPMS, respectively. Mean disease duration from symptom onset up to OCR initiation was longer in SPMS (19.7 years) than in RRMS (10.6 years) and PPMS (9.7 years). OCR was initiated as first line therapy in 17.5%, 5.5%, and 54.2% of RRMS, SPMS, and PPMS patients respectively. Most frequent previous DMT’s in RRMS were fingolimod (25.7%) and natalizumab (23.5%). 693 patients with RRMS had ≥6 months follow-up during OCR exposure. Of these, 643 remained relapse free (93%; 95% CI 86.0, 100.0) over a mean OCR exposure of 1.23 years. The annualized relapse rate (ARR) was 0.08 (95% CI 0.06-0.10), compared to an ARR of 0.85 in the 24 months pre-OCR start. In the overall cohort, treatment persistence at 12 and 24 months was 98.4% (95% CI: 97.3-9.1%) and 92.5% (95%CI 89-95%), respectively.

Conclusions

This study characterizes an international population of patients with RRMS, PPMS, and SPMS newly treated with OCR in a real-world clinical setting. First-line use was uncommon in RRMS and SPMS. During OCR treatment, ARR was below 0.1, and OCR discontinuations were very rare.

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Reproductive Aspects and Pregnancy Poster Presentation

P1131 - Pregnancy in a modern day multiple sclerosis cohort: Predictors of postpartum relapse and disability progression (ID 1321)

Abstract

Background

Disease activity has been investigated in pregnant women with RRMS treated with low-efficacy or no therapy. How newer, more efficacious therapies affect relapse and disability progression risk after pregnancy remains understudied.

Objectives

To describe disease activity in a modern pregnancy cohort contrasted with historical cohorts. To determine the predictors of postpartum relapse and the predictors of six-month confirmed disability progression events in a contemporary pregnancy cohort.

Methods

Data were obtained from the MSBase Registry. Term/preterm pregnancies conceived from 2011-2019 (modern cohort) were compared with those conceived between 2005-2010 and pre-2005. Annualised relapse rates (ARR) were calculated for each pregnancy trimester and 12 months either side. Predictors of time-to-relapse postpartum (1st 3 months) and time to 6-month confirmed disability progression event were determined with clustered Cox regression analyses. Breastfeeding duration and time to DMT reinitiation were modelled as time-varying covariates.

Results

We included 1640 pregnancies from 1452 women (modern cohort). Disease-modifying therapy (DMT) used in the year before conception included interferon-beta (n=597), natalizumab (n=219) and fingolimod (n=147). Continuation of DMT up to conception increased over time (31% pre-2005 vs 54% modern cohort). Preconception ARR decreased across epochs (pre-2005: 0·58 [95% CI 0·49-0·70]; 2005-2010: 0·40 [95% CI 0·36-0·45]; modern: 0·29 [95% CI 0·27-0·32]). In all epochs, ARR decreased during pregnancy to reach similar troughs in the 3rd trimester, and rebounded in the 1st 3-months postpartum. Preconception use of high-efficacy DMT predicted early postpartum relapse (hazard ratio (HR) 2.1 [1.4-3.1]); although those on no DMT were also at risk of postpartum relapse, relative to women on low-efficacy DMT (HR 2.7 [1.2-5.9]). Conception EDSS 2, higher preconception and in-pregnancy ARR were also risk factors. DMT reinitiation, particularly of high-efficacy DMT (HR 0.17 [0.07-0.38]), was protective against postpartum relapse. Women who breastfed were less likely to relapse (HR 0.63 [0.42-0.94]). 4.5% of modern pregnancies had confirmed disability progression after delivery. This was predicted by higher pregnancy and postpartum ARR, with postpartum ARR remaining independently predictive in multivariable analysis (HR 1.5 [1.2-2.0]).

Conclusions

The early postpartum period remains a period of vulnerability for disease rebound in women with MS in the modern era. Early DMT reinitiation, particularly with high-efficacy treatment, is protective against postpartum relapse. Confirmed disability progression events after pregnnacy are uncommon in the modern era. Relapse activity is the key driver of these events.

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