Novartis Pharma AG
NEUROSCIENCE DU GDD

Author Of 2 Presentations

Biomarkers and Bioinformatics Oral Presentation

FC04.03 - High plasma glial fibrillary acidic protein levels predict disability milestone EDSS 7 in non-active secondary progressive multiple sclerosis

Speakers
Presentation Number
FC04.03
Presentation Topic
Biomarkers and Bioinformatics
Lecture Time
13:24 - 13:36

Abstract

Background

Glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) is released into the cerebrospinal fluid and blood upon astroglial injury and activation, one of the hallmarks of progressive multiple sclerosis (PMS). It is unclear whether blood GFAP levels are associated with disability accumulation in secondary progressive MS (SPMS).

Objectives

To explore GFAP as a prognostic biomarker of disability worsening in patients with active and/or non-active SPMS (aSPMS and/or naSPMS) in the Phase 3 EXPAND study.

Methods

In this post-hoc analysis from the EXPAND study, baseline (BL) GFAP was quantified in EDTA plasma samples using Single Molecule Array technology. GFAP was categorized as high/low based on the gender stratified 80 percentile. The effect of GFAP on time to Expanded Disability Status Scale [EDSS] 7 (wheelchair restricted) was assessed using a Cox regression model adjusted for age, gender, disease duration, treatment, relapses in the 24 months prior to study start, and BL EDSS. Subgroup analyses were conducted in patients with aSPMS/naSPMS (with/without relapses ≤24 months prior to study entry, and/or gadolinium-enhancing T1 lesions at BL) and were also stratified by gender.

Results

Samples were available for 1405 of the 1651 patients randomized in the EXPAND study; median GFAP levels (pg/mL) were 119.6 (male) and 141.4 (female). Overall, the risk of reaching EDSS 7 was higher in patients with high BL GFAP (96%: high vs low GFAP, [34/281, 12.1%] vs [54/1117, 4.8%]; HR 1.96 [1.27; 3.03]; p=0.0024). Interestingly, the increased risk of reaching EDSS 7 was mainly seen in females (23/169; 13.6%] vs [34/673; 5.1%]; HR 2.22 [1.30; 3.80]; p=0.0035), and not significant in males ([11/112, 9.8%] vs [20/444, 4.5%]; HR 1.45 [0.67; 3.12]; p=0.3457). Increase in risk of reaching EDSS 7 was mainly observed in naSPMS patients (high GFAP [14/133; 10.5%] vs low GFAP [22/570; 3.9%]; HR 3.40 [1.71; 6.75]; p=0.0005) and was not significant in aSPMS patients (high GFAP [20/144; 13.9%] vs low GFAP [30/521; 5.8%]; HR 1.58 [0.88; 2.82]; p=0.1250). However, associations between BL GFAP levels and time to 6-months confirmed disability progression showed similar trends, but were less pronounced.

Conclusions

Blood GFAP appears to be a prognostic biomarker of disability worsening. The relevance of the gender difference and the stronger correlations found in SPMS patients with non-active versus active disease needs further investigation.

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Biomarkers and Bioinformatics Oral Presentation

PS09.05 - Value of serum neurofilament light chain levels as a biomarker of suboptimal treatment response in MS clinical practice

Abstract

Background

Serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) reflects neuro-axonal damage and may qualify as a biomarker of suboptimal response to disease modifying therapy (DMT).

Objectives

To investigate the predictive value of sNfL in clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) and relapsing-remitting (RR) MS patients with established DMT for future MS disease activity in the Swiss MS Cohort Study.

Methods

All patients were on DMT for at least 3 months. sNfL was measured 6 or 12-monthly with the NF-light®assay. The association between sNfL and age was modeled using a generalized additive model for location scale and shape. Z-scores (sNfLz) were derived thereof, reflecting the deviation of a patient sNfL value from the mean value of same age healthy controls (n=8865 samples). We used univariable mixed logistic regression models to investigate the association between sNfLz and the occurrence of clinical events (relapses, EDSS worsening [≥1.5 steps if EDSS 0; ≥1.0 if 1.0-5.5 or ≥0.5 if >5.5] in the following year in all patients, and in those fulfilling NEDA-3 criteria (no relapses, EDSS worsening, contrast enhancing or new/enlarging T2 lesions in brain MRI, based on previous year). We combined sNfLz with clinical and MRI measures of MS disease activity in the previous year (EDA-3) in a multivariable mixed logistic regression model for predicting clinical events in the following year.

Results

sNfL was measured in 1062 patients with 5192 longitudinal samples (median age 39.7 yrs; EDSS 2.0; 4.1% CIS, 95.9% RRMS; median follow-up 5 yrs). sNfLz predicted clinical events in the following year (OR 1.21 [95%CI 1.11-1.36], p<0.001, n=4624). This effect increased in magnitude with increasing sNfLz (sNfLz >1: OR 1.41 [95%CI 1.15-1.73], p=0.001; >1.5: OR 1.80 [95%CI 1.43-2.28], p<0.001; >2: OR 2.33 [95%CI 1.74-3.14], p<0.001). Similar results were found for the prediction of future new/enlarging T2 lesions and brain volume loss. In the multivariable model, new/enlarging T2 lesions (OR 1.88 [95%CI 1.13-3.12], p=0.016) and sNfLz>1.5 (OR 2.18 [95%CI 1.21-3.90], p=0.009) predicted future clinical events (n=853), while previous EDSS worsening, previous relapses and current contrast enhancement did not. In NEDA-3 patients, change of sNfLz (per standard deviation) was associated with a 37% increased risk of clinical events in the subsequent year (OR 1.37 [95%CI 1.04-1.78], p=0.025, n=587).

Conclusions

Our data support the value of sNfL levels, beyond the NEDA3 concept, for treatment monitoring in MS clinical practice.

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Author Of 5 Presentations

Biomarkers and Bioinformatics Poster Presentation

P0028 - Assessing the temporal relationship of serum neurofilament light and subclinical disease activity: Findings from APLIOS trial (ID 1641)

Speakers
Presentation Number
P0028
Presentation Topic
Biomarkers and Bioinformatics

Abstract

Background

Several studies showed prognostic value of serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) in relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS). For the first time, we explored the association of sNfL and subclinical disease activity using data from the APLIOS trial.

Objectives

To evaluate the potential of sNfL as a patient-level biomarker for monitoring subclinical disease activity in RMS patients.

Methods

In the APLIOS open-label study of ofatumumab 20 mg s.c in RMS (n=284), frequent (14 time points over 12 weeks) sNfL measurements were performed (Siemens sNfL RUO assay on ADVIA Centaur®). MRI scans were done every 4 weeks. The potential monitoring value of sNfL was examined in 3 ways: 1) Age-adjusted geometric mean sNfL over time was estimated in 3 subgroups: patients who had on-study clinical relapses (r+), patients with presence of gadolinium-enhancing T1 (GdT1) lesions at or post-baseline but no clinical relapses (GdT1+r) and patients with neither lesions nor clinical relapses (GdT1r); 2) As high-frequency sampling permitted an estimation of daily sNfL levels, every report of GdT1 lesion was linked to the estimated sNfL level at the time of the scan (using a recurrent-events analysis); and 3) Patient-level predictions of GdT1 lesion were done using the last sNfL value before the corresponding scan and compared with MRI-based predictions (in terms of across-scan average area under the receiver operating characteristics curve [AUC]).

Results

Over the study course, the age-adjusted geometric mean sNfL levels in the GdT1rgroup (n=153) were low compared to other two subgroups, with 95% CIs below those of the r+ (n=15) and GdT1+r(n=116) groups. After adjusting for baseline age and MRI covariates, a between-patient difference of 50% higher sNfL at the time of GdT1 scan was associated with a 29% higher risk of persistent GdT1 lesion (p<0.0001). At the individual patient level, the predictive power of the last sNfL value (AUC=0.76) before scan for presence of GdT1 lesion was similar to that of baseline GdT1-count (AUC=0.77).

Conclusions

This study suggests sNfL may have utility for monitoring of subclinical disease activity in RMS patients as shown by its predictive value of GdT1 lesion activity. Assessments of sNfL could complement regular MRIs, and may provide an alternative in cases where standard MRI monitoring is infeasible.

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Biomarkers and Bioinformatics Poster Presentation

P0033 - Baseline serum neurofilament light levels have prognostic value for on-study MRI activity: Results from ASCLEPIOS trials (ID 1669)

Speakers
Presentation Number
P0033
Presentation Topic
Biomarkers and Bioinformatics

Abstract

Background

In the ASCLEPIOS I/II trials, ofatumumab significantly lowered serum neurofilament light (sNfL) levels, a marker of disease activity and treatment response, in the first assessment at month 3 and at all subsequent visits versus teriflunomide.

Objectives

To investigate the prognostic value of baseline sNfL for on-study disease activity and worsening in patients with relapsing MS, particularly in newly diagnosed, treatment-naïve patients.

Methods

Patients (pooled N=1882) were randomized to ofatumumab or teriflunomide, receiving treatment for up to 30 months. Patients were stratified by median baseline sNfL levels. We assessed annual on-study T2 lesion formation and brain volume loss (BVL, Jacobian integration) by sNfL category in all patients and in the subgroup of newly diagnosed within 3 year of screening without prior disease-modifying treatment (representing natural course of sNfL and disease at baseline) at month 24 or end of study. The annualized rate of new or enlarging T2 (neT2) lesions in year-2 versus year-1 was assessed in all patients by sNfL category (negative binomial model with time [in year] as offset).

Results

Patients with high sNfL (>median) levels at baseline developed more neT2 lesions per year on study than patients with low (≤median) sNfL levels (adjusted mean rate: ofatumumab: 0.95 vs 0.39, relative increase 143%, p<0.001; teriflunomide 5.28 vs 3.02, relative increase 74.5%, p<0.001). The prognostic value of baseline sNfL persists for year-2 (high vs low, ofatumumab: 0.09 vs 0.06, 64.5%, p=0.124; teriflunomide 4.53 vs 3.12, 45.6%, p=0.003. A single sNfL assessment at baseline had no prognostic value for on-study relapses and disability worsening. Patients with high baseline sNfL had higher annualized rate of BVL than patients with low sNfL (ofatumumab: 0.32% vs 0.23%, relative difference 37.3%, p=0.045; teriflunomide: 0.43% vs 0.29%, relative difference 49.4%, p<0.001). The results were consistent in the subgroup of newly diagnosed, treatment-naïve patients. The relative treatment effect of ofatumumab versus teriflunomide was similar across all measures in both the high and low sNfL groups.

Conclusions

Baseline sNfL levels were prognostic for on-study lesion formation and BVL for at least 2 years, in all patients and in the subgroup of newly diagnosed, treatment-naïve patients. sNfL levels can supplement clinical assessments and help identify patients at high risk for future disease activity.

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Biomarkers and Bioinformatics Poster Presentation

P0097 - Intrathecal immunoglobulin M synthesis is associated with higher serum neurofilament light chain levels and increased MRI disease activity in MS (ID 1089)

Abstract

Background

Intrathecal IgM synthesis was reported to be associated with higher clinical disease activity and severity. We found an association also with earlier use of high efficacy treatments in relapsing MS (RMS).

Objectives

To explore whether patients with intrathecal IgM synthesis show a) higher serum neurofilament light chain levels (sNfL) as a reflection of neuronal damage, or b) signs of increased disease severity in cerebral MRI, in patients with RMS followed in the Swiss MS Cohort Study.

Methods

487 patients were categorized by presence of oligoclonal IgG bands (OCGB) and intrathecally produced IgG/M:

1) OCGB-/IgG-/IgM- (reference [ref]);

2) OCGB+/IgG-/IgM-;

3) OCGB+/IgG+/IgM- and

4) OCGB+/IgG+/IgM+.

sNfL was measured (at baseline and every 6- or 12 months) with the NF-light® assay. Age-dependent sNfL z-scores (sNfLz) were modelled in 8865 healthy control samples to reflect the deviation of a patient sNfL value compared to mean values observed in same age healthy controls. Yearly T2 lesion number and occurrence of new/enlarging T2 lesions were automatically assessed in cerebral MRIs and checked manually. Contrast enhancing lesions (CEL) were manually quantified. Linear or negative binomial mixed models were used to investigate the associations between the four CSF Ig patterns and longitudinal sNfLz and MRI measures, adjusted for DMT and other covariates.

Results

IgM+ patients had higher sNfLz vs reference (estimate 0.50 [CI 0.12, 0.89], p=0.011), whereas those with only OCGB+ (0.11 [-0.28, 0.50], p=0.582) or with OCGB+/IgG+ (0.20 [-0.16, 0.56], p=0.270) did not (n=2970 observations). This was confirmed when analyzing only untreated patients adjusting for T2 and CEL numbers (1.16 [0.47, 1.86], p<0.01 vs 0.58 [-0.11, 1.27], p=0.1022 vs 0.51 [-0.11, 1.13], p=0.108 vs ref, respectively) (n=234).

IgM+ patients had 2.28-fold more T2 lesions ([1.51, 3.44], p<0.01) vs ref; for patients with only OCGB+ (1.61 [1.07, 2.43], p=0.0237) or OCGB+/IgG+ (1.58 [CI 1.08, 2.32], p=0.0179) (n=1580) this association was weaker.

IgM+ was associated with a 2.47-fold risk for new/enlarging T2 lesions on yearly follow-up MRIs vs ref (2.47 [1.28, 4.78], p<0.01) but not the two other patient groups (1.84 [CI 0.93; 3.65], p=0.0799 and 1.61 [CI 0.87; 2.95], p=0.1280) (n=861).

Conclusions

Intrathecal IgM synthesis was consistently associated with quantitative measures of neuro-axonal injury and disease severity in RMS. Our findings strongly support the clinical utiliy of this biomarker.

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Biomarkers and Bioinformatics Poster Presentation

P0154 - Serum Neurofilament light chain captures and predicts disability progression independent of relapses (PIRA) in multiple sclerosis (ID 809)

Abstract

Background

In relapsing MS, blood NfL has emerged as a promising biomarker of disease activity and worsening. The ability of serum NfL (sNfL) to detect relapse-independent disability progression is less well established.

Objectives

We investigated whether patients followed in the Swiss Multiple Sclerosis Cohort (SMSC) without any relapses during follow-up, had higher sNfL levels when experiencing confirmed disability progression independent of relapses (PIRA) as compared to stable patients. Secondly, we explored whether baseline (BL) sNfL could predict PIRA.

Methods

BL and 6- or 12-monthly follow-up sNfL were measured by Simoa NF-light® assay in 4608 samples from 806 relapse-free MS patients and 8865 serum samples from 4133 healthy controls (median age 45 yrs). Age-dependent sNfL z-scores (sNfLz) were modeled in healthy controls using a generalised additive model for location scale and shape to reflect the deviation of a patient sNfL value from the mean value of same age healthy controls. PIRA was defined as an EDSS increase of ≥1.5 steps if baseline EDSS 0, ≥1.0 if 1.0-5.5, or ≥0.5 if >5.5, confirmed after ≥6 months. We used mixed effects models to investigate the association between PIRA, clinical parameters, disease modifying treatment, and log(sNfL) as dependent variable at each sampling. The predictive value of BL sNfLz was investigated by uni- and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models.

Results

806 (4608 samples) of 1399 patients in the SMSC did not experience relapses during a median follow-up of 4.7 years (57.6%; BL: 715 RRMS, 43 SPMS, 48 PPMS; median age 42 yrs; samples/patient: 5; EDSS 2.0). PIRA occurred in 153/806 (19.0%). In a multivariable model, sNfL was positively associated with age (1.7%/year [95%CI 1.5;2.0], p<0.001) and EDSS at BL (7.6%/step, [5.8;9.6], p<0.001), whereas it was decreased when sampled during monoclonal antibody therapy (-10.8%, [-14.7;-6.6], p<0.001) or oral MS treatments (-10.4%, [-14.1;-6.5%], p<0.001) as compared to untreated timepoints. Importantly, patients experiencing PIRA had 11.6% higher sNfL levels, compared with stable patients (4.5;19.2, p=0.001). The hazard of future PIRA increased by 23.5% (8.3;40.8, p=0.002) per 1 standard deviation higher BL sNfLz. This finding was confirmed after adjusting for age, EDSS score and treatment at BL (27.8%, [11.5;46.5], p<0.001; sNfLz > 2: 2.5-fold risk [95%CI 1.7-3.9], p<0.001 for PIRA event vs. sNfLz < 2).

Conclusions

Our data support the value of sNfL to capture and predict neuro-axonal injury leading to disability progression independent from relapses.

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Biomarkers and Bioinformatics Poster Presentation

P0160 - Serum NfL z-scores derived from a large healthy control group reflect different levels of treatment effect in a real-world setting (ID 916)

Abstract

Background

Serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) levels reflect neuroaxonal damage and relate to disease activity in MS. sNfL may qualify as well as a biomarker of suboptimal treatment response to disease modifying therapies (DMT). Establishment of age-dependent reference ranges in healthy controls is a prerequisite for developing this biomarker for clinical use.

Objectives

To compare on-treatment sNfL levels with values from a healthy control cohort and to investigate the effect of DMTs on sNfL levels in patients from the Swiss MS Cohort Study.

Methods

sNfL was measured (at baseline and every 6- or 12 months) with the NF-light® assay. Age-dependent sNfL z-scores (sNfLz) were modeled in healthy controls using a generalized additive model for location scale and shape to reflect the deviation of a patient sNfL value from the mean value of same age healthy controls. Linear mixed models were used to investigate the associations between clinical characteristics, DMT and longitudinal sNfLz. Interaction terms and splines were used to model sNfLz and for comparison log(NfL), and their dynamics under treatment.

Results

sNfL was measured in 1368 patients with 7550 longitudinal samples (baseline: median age: 41.9 yrs; 5.4% CIS, 83.2% RRMS, 5.6% SPMS, 5.8% PPMS; median EDSS: 2.0; median follow-up: 4.6 yrs) and 4133 healthy controls with 8865 samples (median age: 44.8 yrs). In the multivariable model, sNfLz increased with EDSS (0.131/step, [95% CI 0.101;0.161]), recent (<120 days) relapse (0.739 [0.643;0.835]) decreased with age (-0.014/year [-0.02;-0.009]), and time on DMT (-0.040/year [-0.054;-0.027]); sNfLz were lower when sampled while on more effective DMT (oral versus platform injectables: -0.229 [-0.344;-0.144]; monoclonal antibodies (mAB) versus platform injectables: -0.349 [-0.475;-0.224]), (p<0.001 for all associations). sNfLz were inversely associated with the hierarchy in efficacy of mAB over orals and orals over platform therapies with regard to slope and extent of decrease (interaction between time under DMT and DMT class: p<0.001). sNfLz, but not log(NfL) showed normalization of sNfL levels by mAB to healthy control levels.

Conclusions

The dynamic change of sNfLz on DMT reflects closely their relative clinical efficacy and is more meaningful than log(sNfL) by excluding age as a confounding factor. Use of sNfLz based on a large normative database as an age-independent sNfL measure improves the accuracy of the sNfL signal and hence their clinical utility.

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