Background

Assigning Secondary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (SPMS) course consistently is challenging as it is based on a gradual worsening in neurological disability independent of relapses. Clinical SPMS assignment may therefore vary between registries depending on clinical practice. Consequently, a comparison of SPMS between registries would benefit from an objective definition of SPMS.

Objectives

To validate three different methods for classifying patients into Relapsing Remitting Multiple Sclerosis (RRMS) or SPMS, compared to the clinical assignment, in five European Multiple Sclerosis (MS) registries.

Methods

Data from MS registries in Czech Republic (11,336 patients), Denmark (10,255 patients), Germany (23,185 patients), Sweden (11,247 patients), and the United Kingdom (UK) (5,086 patients) were used. Patients with either RRMS or SPMS, age ≥ 18 years at index date (date with the latest Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) observation) were included. Index period was 01/2017 - 12/2019. Three EDSS centric classification methods were applied; method 1: a modified real world EXPAND criteria (Kappos, L. et al., 2018. The Lancet 391(10127), 2018), method 2: the data-derived definition from Melbourne University but without pyramidal Functional Score (Lorscheider, J. et al., 2016. Brain 139(9)), method 3: the decision tree classifier from Karolinska Institutet (Ramanujam, R. et al., 2020. medRxiv, 2020.07.09.20149674). The classifications were compared to the clinical assignment, where sensitivity (SPMS as true positive), specificity (RRMS as true negative) and accuracy were calculated as similarity measurements.

Results

The overall classification performance (sensitivity, specificity, accuracy) among classifiable patients were; method 1: (0.47, 0.85, 0.79), method 2: (0.77, 0.87, 0.85), method 3: (0.84, 0.83, 0.84). The proportions of unclassifiable patients with each method were; method 1: 20.0%, method 2: 32.2%, method 3: 0%. Methods 2 & 3 provided a high sensitivity, specificity and accuracy, while method 1 provided high specificity but low sensitivity. Method 3 was the only method having no unclassifiable patients.

Conclusions

Our findings suggest that these methods can be used to objectively assign SPMS with a fairly high performance in different registries. The method of choice depends on the research question and to what degree unclassifiable patients are tolerable.

Background

Until recently, disease modifying treatment options for MS patients with a secondary progressive course (SPMS) were limited, leading to the common practice of off-label treatment with drugs approved for relapsing-remitting MS. We previously showed that applying objective algorithms tend to increase the proportion of SPMS in MS registries, suggesting that SPMS is under-diagnosed in clinical practice, possibly related to available treatment options.

Objectives

To compare characteristics of patients clinically assigned an RRMS course that are re-classified when an algorithm-based SPMS assignment method is applied.

Methods

Data from MS registries in the Czech Republic (11,336 patients), Denmark (10,255 patients), Germany (23,185 patients), Sweden (11,247 patients) and the United Kingdom (5,086 patients) were used. Inclusion criteria were patients with relapsing remitting (RR)MS or SPMS with age ≥ 18 years at the beginning of the study period (1 January 2017 – 31 December 2019). In addition to clinically assigned SPMS a data-driven assignment method was applied in the form of a decision tree classifier based on age and last EDSS (Ramanujam, R. et al., 2020. medRxiv, 2020.07.09.20149674).

Results

Across the five registries 8,372 RRMS patients were re-assigned as SPMS (Denmark: n=1,566, Czech Republic: n=1,958, Germany: n=2,906, Sweden: n=648, United Kingdom: n=1,294) increasing the overall SPMS proportion from 17% to 31%. Re-assigned patients tended be younger, were older at onset and had experienced a quicker progression to SPMS. The overall proportion of clinically assigned SPMS patients on disease modifying treatments (DMTs) was 36% but varied greatly between registries (Czech Republic: 18%, Denmark: 35%, Germany: 50%, Sweden: 40%, and the United Kingdom: 12%) whereas a higher proportion of 69% (OR=4.0, P<0.00004) were on DMTs among RRMS patients re-assigned as SPMS (Czech Republic: 71%, Denmark: 68%, Germany: 78%, Sweden: 80%, and the United Kingdom 40%).

Conclusions

SPMS patients on DMTs may be clinically mis-classified as RRMS, most likely by not being re-assigned to SPMS after conversion has occurred. This challenges the use of time to SPMS conversion as an outcome in comparative effectiveness studies using real world evidence data and argues for the use of objective classification tools in the analysis of MS patient populations.

Background

As the COVID-19 pandemic amplifies, efforts to minimise the risk on vulnerable people are essential. People with multiple sclerosis (MS) may be a vulnerable group due to the high proportion taking long-term immunosuppressive disease-modifying therapies (DMTs). Studies from Italy and France suggest older age, higher disability and progressive MS are associated with severe COVID-19, yet there remains uncertainty around the influence of DMTs.

Objectives

Given the many approved MS DMTs and the relatively low frequency of COVID-19 in MS patients per country, international data sharing is desirable to examine the impact of DMTs on COVID-19 severity. Here, we present the first results of the COVID-19 in MS global data sharing initiative of the MS International Federation and MS Data Alliance and many other data partners to inform MS clinical management during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Methods

Clinician-reported data from 21 countries were aggregated into a dataset of 1540 patients. Characteristics of admission to hospital, admission to intensive care unit (ICU), need for artificial ventilation, and death, were assessed in patients with confirmed or suspected COVID-19 infection using log-binomial regression. Adjusted prevalence ratios (aPR) were calculated adjusting for age, sex, MS type, and Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS).

Results

Of 1540 patients, 476 (30.9%) with suspected and 776 (50.4%) with confirmed COVID-19 were included in the analysis. Older age, progressive MS and higher EDSS were associated with higher frequencies of severe outcomes. Anti-CD20 DMTs, ocrelizumab and rituximab, were positively associated with hospital admission (aPRs=1.19 & 1.58), ICU admission (aPRs=3.53 & 4.12), and the need for artificial ventilation (aPRs=3.17 & 7.27) compared to dimethyl fumarate. Higher frequencies of all three outcomes were associated with combined anti-CD20 DMT use compared to all other DMTs (hospitalisation aPR=1.49; ICU aPR=2.55; ventilation aPR=3.05) and compared to natalizumab (hospitalisation aPR=1.99; ICU aPR=2.39; ventilation aPR=2.84). Importantly, associations persisted on restriction to confirmed COVID-19 cases and upon exclusion of each contributing data source in turn. No associations were observed between DMTs and death.

Conclusions

This study used the largest federated international cohort of people with MS and COVID19 currently available. We demonstrate a consistent association of anti-CD20 DMTs with hospitalisation, ICU admission and use of artificial ventilation suggesting their use among MS patients at risk for COVID-19 exposure may be a risk factor for more severe COVID-19 disease. To address study limitations, further research incorporating comorbidities, smoking and body mass index is required. Alternative study designs are needed to address questions on COVID-19 susceptibility among people with MS.

Background

Natalizumab 300 mg every 4 weeks (Q4W) is an effective therapy for relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (MS) but is also associated with increased risk of progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML) in anti–JC virus seropositive patients. Analysis of the TOUCH Prescribing Program safety database showed that natalizumab extended interval dosing (EID; average dosing interval approximately 6 weeks) is associated with lower risk of PML than Q4W dosing. Previous analysis of TYSABRI Observational Program (TOP) data showed no difference in relapse outcomes for patients on Q4W and every-6-week (Q6W) dosing. Comparative disability outcome data in well-matched real-world populations are lacking.

Objectives

Compare relapse and disability outcomes in propensity-score (PS)–matched TOP patients who switched to Q6W dosing with outcomes in patients who remained on Q4W dosing.

Methods

Intentional dosing data collected in TOP as of November 2019 were used to identify patients with ≥1 year of Q4W dosing who remained on Q4W or switched to Q6W dosing. Patients with dosing intervals ≥12 weeks or <3 weeks were excluded. Patients with similar exposures were PS-matched 1:1 with age, sex, Expanded Disability Status Scale score, time from MS onset, exposure duration, and relapse activity as covariates. Between-group comparisons were made for the post-switch follow-up period for Q6W patients and the matching time period for Q4W patients. Adjusted relapse rates (ARRs) were calculated using negative binomial regression with robust standard error estimation. Hazard ratios (HRs) for time to first relapse and 24-week confirmed disability worsening (CDW) were estimated with Kaplan-Meier and Cox methods.

Results

The analysis included 236 matched pairs of Q6W and Q4W patients. Mean (SD) follow-up times for Q6W and Q4W patients were 2.00 (1.30) and 1.89 (1.15) years, respectively. ARRs (0.146 vs 0.139; P=0.796), time to first relapse (HR [95% CI] 1.078 [0.723–1.608]; P=0.711), and time to CDW (HR [95% CI] 0.749 [0.270–2.074]; P=0.578) did not differ significantly for Q6W and Q4W patients.

Conclusions

Relapse and disability outcomes in TOP were similar for PS-matched patients who switched to Q6W or remained on Q4W dosing. These results are consistent with prior matched and unmatched analyses in real-world settings and underscore the need for the ongoing, prospective, randomized efficacy trial of natalizumab Q6W vs Q4W dosing (NOVA, clinicaltrials.gov NCT03689972).

The TOP study was supported by Biogen.

Background

Secondary progressive MS (SPMS) is a research area that is attracting more attention as better treatment options are still needed for this patient group. The assignment of SPMS by clinicians can differ between countries and may be influenced by drug prescription guidelines, reimbursement issues and other societal limitations.

Objectives

To compare the clinically assigned SPMS proportion to three objective SPMS classification methods in five MS registries.

Methods

Data from MS registries in the Czech Republic (CR) (11,336 patients), Denmark (10,255 patients), Germany (23,185 patients), Sweden (11,247 patients) and the United Kingdom (UK) (5,086 patients) were used. Inclusion criteria were patients with relapsing remitting (RR)MS or SPMS with age ≥ 18 years at the beginning of the index period (1 January 2017 – 31 December 2019). In addition to clinically assigned SPMS three different classification methods were applied; method 1: modified real world EXPAND criteria (Kappos et al, Lancet 2018:391; 1263-1273), method 2: the data-derived definition from Melbourne University without the pyramidal Functional Systems Score (Lorscheider et al, Brain 2016:139; 2395-2405) and method 3: the decision tree classifier from Karolinska Institutet (Ramanujam, R. et al., 2020. medRxiv, 2020.07.09.20149674).

Results

The SPMS proportions per registry, when comparing the clinically assigned SPMS with the results of the three classification methods, were CR: 8.8%, 21.3%, 22.1%, 25.0%; Denmark: 15.5%, 27.5%, 25.4%, 28.0%; Germany: 15.6%, 15.4%, 16.7%, 25.4%; Sweden: 23.7%, 20.8%, 23.2%, 24.6% and UK: 34.3%, 21.7%, 38.4%, 58.3% for clinical SPMS and methods 1, 2 and 3, respectively.

Conclusions

The proportion of clinically assigned SPMS patients varies between MS registries. When applying other classification methods, the SPMS proportion generally increases but remains variable between registries. As some of the classification methods have extensive requirements regarding data density, the number of unclassifiable samples created are considerable for some of the registries, which will influence the results. Providing a classification method that depends on objective information could prove useful when attempting to estimate the proportion of SPMS patients in MS populations but the choice of method may depend on the data characteristics of the individual MS registry.

Background

Background: Teriflunomide and dimethyl fumarate first-line have similar labels and are used in similar patients and hence provide a suitable comparison.

Objectives

The objective of this study was to compare the effectiveness of teriflunomide and dimethyl fumarate (DMF) in a Swedish real-world setting.

Methods

All relapsing remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) patients in the Swedish MS registry initiating teriflunomide or DMF were included in the analysis. The primary endpoint was treatment persistence. Secondary outcomes included annualised relapse rate (ARR); time to first on-treatment relapse, confirmed disability progression and improvement, and patient reported outcomes. Propensity score matching was used to adjust comparisons for baseline confounders. Marginal Cox models were used to compare time-to-event outcomes by matched treatment groups.

Results

Of the 358 teriflunomide and 1767 DMF patients eligible for the analysis, 353 teriflunomide patients were successfully matched to 353 DMF on a 1:1 basis. There was no difference in the rate of overall treatment discontinuation by treatment group across the entire observation period (HR 1.12; 95% CI 0.91, 1.39; p=0.277; reference=teriflunomide). Within the subset of the patients who discontinued their index treatment, the most frequently reported reason for DMF discontinuation was side effects (89/190; 46.8%) whilst lack of effectiveness was reported in 39/190 (20.5%) of discontinuations. By comparison, lack of effectiveness was cited as the most frequent discontinuation reason in the matched teriflunomide group (72/160; 45%) followed by side effects (63/160; 39.4%). ARR was comparable (p=0.237) between DMF (0.07; 95% CI 0.05-0.10) and teriflunomide (0.09; 95% CI 0.07-0.12). Similarly, there was no difference in time to first on-treatment relapse (HR 0.78; 95% CI 0.50, 1.21; p=0.270; reference=teriflunomide). Furthermore, there was no difference by matched treatment group in the rate of six-month confirmed disability progression (HR 0.55; 95% CI 0.27, 1.12; p=0.100; reference=teriflunomide) or six-month confirmed disability improvement (HR 1.17; 95% CI 0.57, 2.36; p=0.672; reference=teriflunomide). MSIS-29 quality of life scores were also similar over time between the two groups.

Conclusions

This population-based real-world study performed on the Swedish MS registry shows similarities in treatment persistence, clinical effectiveness and quality of life outcomes of teriflunomide and dimethyl fumarate.

Background

Neutralizing anti-drug antibodies (NAbs) to interferon beta (IFNβ) develop in up to 47% of multiple sclerosis (MS) treated patients inhibiting treatment effect of IFNβ. However, the long-term effect of NAbs remain unknown.

Objectives

To investigate the long-term consequences of high titre NAbs to IFNβ on disease activity and progression in MS patients.

Methods

An observational study including data from all IFNβ treated MS patients with sufficient NAb test results from the Swedish MS registry. Patients were classified into either confirmed ‘high titre’ or ‘persistent negative’ groups and analysed for differences in disease activity and progression over time.

Results

A total of 197 high-titre and 2907 persistent negative patients with 19969.6 follow up years of data were included. High titre NAbs were associated with a higher degree of disease activity at baseline. However, even when accounting for this, the presence of high titre NAbs were also associated with higher disease activity during IFNβ treatment. This persisted even after the next DMT start, suggesting that earlier high titres may partially reduce the effect of later treatments. No difference was found in confirmed disability progression.

Conclusions

High titre NAbs to IFNβ are associated with higher disease activity, persisting even after IFNβ discontinuation or switch. These results support use of highly efficient treatment earlier, to avoid these complications.

Background

Cladribine tablets are approved for treatment of multiple sclerosis (MS) in many jurisdictions. Real-world outcomes data is very limited.

Objectives

We analysed the cladribine treatment experience in the MSBase registry. We described baseline characteristics, treatment pathways, and relapse and discontinuation outcomes in patients with ≥6 months follow-up data from cladribine initiation.

Methods

We performed a secondary data analysis using MSBase Registry data of patients with a confirmed diagnosis of MS and newly treated with cladribine tablets after regulatory approval. Descriptive statistics were used to analyze baseline patient characteristics recorded within 3 months prior to cladribine tablets initiation, including demographics, disease course and duration, prior disease modifying drugs (DMD), and Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS).

Results

As of the 4th June 2020, MSBase included 660 patients treated with cladribine from 9 countries, mainly from Australia and Europe. A total of 576 met all inclusion criteria. These included 496 relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) patients. In these, median age at cladribine tablets start was 45 years and median disease duration since clinically isolated syndrome was 12.6 years. Median EDSS at cladribine tablets start was 2.5. Around 13% of all RRMS patients initiated cladribine tablets as first line therapy. Of all RRMS patients switching to cladribine tablets with a treatment gap of <6 months, the most common immediate prior DMDs were fingolimod (17%), followed by natalizumab, teriflunomide and dimethylfumarate (all appx. 10%). Total follow-up time was 340 patient-years. Annualised relapse rate (ARR) on cladribine tablets was 0.12 (95%CI 0.09-0.17), compared to a pre-cladribine ARR of 0.38. Treatment persistence was 95% after 12 months (95%CI 91-98%), and 92% after 24 months (95%CI 87-96%).

Conclusions

This study characterizes RRMS patients treated with cladribine tablets in a real-world clinic setting. First-line use was uncommon. ARR was low, consistent with clinical trial data, and early discontinuations were very rare.

Background

Ocrelizumab (OCR) is a humanised anti-CD20⁺ monoclonal antibody approved for the treatment of primary progressive multiple sclerosis (PPMS), and relapsing forms of MS, including both relapsing-remitting (RRMS) and secondary progressive MS (SPMS) with relapses.

Objectives

In a real-world setting, to describe 1) baseline characteristics of patients with MS treated with OCR, 2) treatment pathway across lines of therapy up to initiation of OCR, and 3) initial clinical experience in patients with ≥6 months follow-up data from OCR initiation.

Methods

Secondary data analysis using MSBase Registry data including patients with a confirmed diagnosis of MS and started OCR therapy within 3 months prior to or at time of MSBase eligible/initial visit. Descriptive statistics were used to analyze baseline patient characteristics' recorded within 3 months of OCR initiation, including demographics, disease course and duration, prior disease modifying therapies (DMT), and EDSS. Occurrence of relapse was analyzed in patients with ≥6 months follow-up data from OCR initiation.

Results

As of 4^th June 2020, MSBase included 2531 patients newly treated with OCR, of whom 1679 had an EDSS evaluation within 3 months of OCR start. There were 1185 patients with RRMS, 236 with SPMS, and 183 with PPMS. Median age at OCR initiation was 41.9 years, 49.5 years, to 50.1 years in RRMS, SPMS, and PPMS, respectively. Mean disease duration from symptom onset up to OCR initiation was longer in SPMS (19.7 years) than in RRMS (10.6 years) and PPMS (9.7 years). OCR was initiated as first line therapy in 17.5%, 5.5%, and 54.2% of RRMS, SPMS, and PPMS patients respectively. Most frequent previous DMT’s in RRMS were fingolimod (25.7%) and natalizumab (23.5%). 693 patients with RRMS had ≥6 months follow-up during OCR exposure. Of these, 643 remained relapse free (93%; 95% CI 86.0, 100.0) over a mean OCR exposure of 1.23 years. The annualized relapse rate (ARR) was 0.08 (95% CI 0.06-0.10), compared to an ARR of 0.85 in the 24 months pre-OCR start. In the overall cohort, treatment persistence at 12 and 24 months was 98.4% (95% CI: 97.3-9.1%) and 92.5% (95%CI 89-95%), respectively.

Conclusions

This study characterizes an international population of patients with RRMS, PPMS, and SPMS newly treated with OCR in a real-world clinical setting. First-line use was uncommon in RRMS and SPMS. During OCR treatment, ARR was below 0.1, and OCR discontinuations were very rare.

Background

Unemployment rates can be high among patients with multiple sclerosis (MS), and a return to work after unemployment can be difficult, highlighting the importance of treatment in preventing a departure from the workforce due to MS. Natalizumab is a highly effective treatment for patients with relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) and was associated with positive employment outcomes in real-world studies.

Objectives

To evaluate changes in employment status in RRMS patients treated with natalizumab in the TYSABRI Observational Program (TOP), a large observational study assessing the long-term safety and effectiveness of natalizumab.

Methods

This retrospective analysis included patients aged ≤65 years at TOP enrolment (i.e., baseline [BL]) who were surveyed on their employment status in the year before natalizumab initiation and in the period since treatment initiation (N=2004). Multivariate logistic regression tested the association between BL characteristics and employment outcomes.

Results

At BL, patients had a mean (standard deviation [SD]) Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score of 3.5 (1.5). At the survey, patients had a mean (SD) of 5.5 (3.3) years of natalizumab treatment. Survey responses indicated that in the year before natalizumab initiation, 1107 patients (55.2%) were working; 814 patients (40.6%) were working full time, 53 (2.6%) were working part time due to MS, 265 (13.2%) were not working due to MS, and 240 (12.0%) and 632 (31.5%) were working part time or not at all, respectively, for other reasons. After natalizumab initiation, 861 patients (43.0%) improved (1.3%) or maintained (41.6%) their employment level, whereas 170 (8.5%) experienced a decline in employment level due to MS and 256 (12.8%) remained unemployed due to MS. Significant predictors of improving/maintaining employment status were younger age (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 0.756; P=0.005), lower BL EDSS score (aOR: 0.747; P<0.001), and fewer relapses in the year before natalizumab initiation (aOR: 0.829; P=0.042), but did not include sex, prior therapy use, or RRMS duration.

Conclusions

Of patients who were working prior to natalizumab initiation, 77.0% maintained or improved their employment level with an average follow up of 5.5 years. Overall, favourable outcomes were predicted by younger age and less BL disease activity, supporting the importance of natalizumab initiation early in the disease course to help prevent patients from leaving the workforce due to MS.

The TOP study is funded by Biogen. Biogen funded the analyses and writing support for this abstract. Writing support was provided by Ashfield Healthcare Communications (Middletown, CT, USA).

Background

Background: Teriflunomide and dimethyl fumarate first-line have similar labels and are used in similar patients and hence provide a suitable comparison.

Objectives

The objective of this study was to compare the effectiveness of teriflunomide and dimethyl fumarate (DMF) in a Swedish real-world setting.

Methods

All relapsing remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) patients in the Swedish MS registry initiating teriflunomide or DMF were included in the analysis. The primary endpoint was treatment persistence. Secondary outcomes included annualised relapse rate (ARR); time to first on-treatment relapse, confirmed disability progression and improvement, and patient reported outcomes. Propensity score matching was used to adjust comparisons for baseline confounders. Marginal Cox models were used to compare time-to-event outcomes by matched treatment groups.

Results

Of the 358 teriflunomide and 1767 DMF patients eligible for the analysis, 353 teriflunomide patients were successfully matched to 353 DMF on a 1:1 basis. There was no difference in the rate of overall treatment discontinuation by treatment group across the entire observation period (HR 1.12; 95% CI 0.91, 1.39; p=0.277; reference=teriflunomide). Within the subset of the patients who discontinued their index treatment, the most frequently reported reason for DMF discontinuation was side effects (89/190; 46.8%) whilst lack of effectiveness was reported in 39/190 (20.5%) of discontinuations. By comparison, lack of effectiveness was cited as the most frequent discontinuation reason in the matched teriflunomide group (72/160; 45%) followed by side effects (63/160; 39.4%). ARR was comparable (p=0.237) between DMF (0.07; 95% CI 0.05-0.10) and teriflunomide (0.09; 95% CI 0.07-0.12). Similarly, there was no difference in time to first on-treatment relapse (HR 0.78; 95% CI 0.50, 1.21; p=0.270; reference=teriflunomide). Furthermore, there was no difference by matched treatment group in the rate of six-month confirmed disability progression (HR 0.55; 95% CI 0.27, 1.12; p=0.100; reference=teriflunomide) or six-month confirmed disability improvement (HR 1.17; 95% CI 0.57, 2.36; p=0.672; reference=teriflunomide). MSIS-29 quality of life scores were also similar over time between the two groups.

Conclusions

This population-based real-world study performed on the Swedish MS registry shows similarities in treatment persistence, clinical effectiveness and quality of life outcomes of teriflunomide and dimethyl fumarate.